{ "ticker": { "uuid": "44bdf2fe-1fba-4a32-aa48-c103e45ff5aa", "symbol": "WORLD", "name": "Franklin FTSE Developed World U", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.781, "architecture_energy": 70.925, "architecture_maturity": 81.886, "architecture_confidence": 82.652, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.07, "rotation_up": 58.06, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.62, "rotation_down": 29.8, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.73, 31.681455, 31.1845, 30.530718 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 32.313, "trend_reference": 29.752133, "distance_from_trend": 0.086073, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.172315, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.189188, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.542886, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.141762, "excess_performance": 0.08845, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086073, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047099, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.189188, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048574, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.055429, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044318, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141762, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.035264, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14, "relative_activity": 0.027184, "balance": 6.035264, "dry_up": 0.018932, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.013593, "annualized_volatility": 0.111022, "from_high_reference": -0.001144, "from_low_reference": 0.251181 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.752133, "fair_value_reference": 27.172315, "structural_low": 27.000999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.005876, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.023601, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.007766, "worst_return": -0.019517, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.028389, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 26.094, "volume": 421, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 26.271, "volume": 831, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", 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29.658957, 29.223288 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 31.697001, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 665.25, "trend": 28.811267, "fair_value": 26.786841, "relative_strength": 9.114625, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.586738, "energy": 92.126816, "activity_lines": [ 31.326134, 30.868582, 29.905371, 29.419669 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 31.513, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 642.75, "trend": 28.95, "fair_value": 26.843783, "relative_strength": 8.633598, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.384523, "energy": 77.334156, "activity_lines": [ 31.441534, 31.076582, 30.117505, 29.593974 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 31.665001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 577.6, "trend": 29.0938, "fair_value": 26.901179, "relative_strength": 7.289865, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.518305, "energy": 83.031482, "activity_lines": [ 31.556334, 31.254837, 30.328819, 29.769135 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 31.878, "volume": 389, "typical_volume": 552.35, "trend": 29.2384, "fair_value": 26.959729, "relative_strength": 9.813805, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.111194, "energy": 75.54793, "activity_lines": [ 31.680734, 31.431582, 30.544257, 29.948761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.878, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 539.1, "trend": 29.3787, "fair_value": 27.016919, "relative_strength": 9.432153, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.205871, "energy": 70.205674, "activity_lines": [ 31.774667, 31.561618, 30.743681, 30.119058 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.521, "volume": 9, "typical_volume": 539.55, "trend": 29.5071, "fair_value": 27.06869, "relative_strength": 7.482327, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.010109, "energy": 67.617254, "activity_lines": [ 31.706267, 31.595655, 30.894033, 30.257271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.047001, "volume": 16, "typical_volume": 516.35, "trend": 29.614467, "fair_value": 27.113898, "relative_strength": 4.047459, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.788926, "energy": 59.489768, "activity_lines": [ 31.4916, 31.526219, 30.985872, 30.356619 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.313, "volume": 14, "typical_volume": 515.0, "trend": 29.752133, "fair_value": 27.172315, "relative_strength": 5.542886, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.781136, "energy": 70.925486, "activity_lines": [ 31.73, 31.681455, 31.1845, 30.530718 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }