{ "ticker": { "uuid": "44c221c3-f57c-4f95-b7e7-67d7f1963db7", "symbol": "AXON", "name": "Axon Enterprise Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.986, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.547, "architecture_energy": 39.779, "architecture_maturity": 32.341, "architecture_confidence": 63.278, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.71, "rotation_up": 55.66, "upward_expansion": 77.92, "deceleration": 62.15, "rotation_down": 18.05, "downward_expansion": 4.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 537.298, 525.994909, 485.990857, 474.647634 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 571.01, "trend_reference": 474.360667, "distance_from_trend": 0.203747, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 470.970513, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212411, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.576467, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.378585, "excess_performance": 0.191132, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.203747, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041562, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.212411, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.308647, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.105765, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.362581, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.378585, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.087194, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6953325, "relative_activity": 1.292706, "balance": 1.087194, "dry_up": 0.815283, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130359, "annualized_volatility": 0.753274, "from_high_reference": -0.323568, "from_low_reference": 0.684346 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 474.360667, "fair_value_reference": 470.970513, "structural_low": 339.01, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.03035, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.010971, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.00938, "worst_return": -0.094568, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.259033, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.290103, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.417138, "worst_return": 0.100927, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.452426, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.392565, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.456802, "worst_return": 0.448049, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 502.34, "volume": 3345102, "typical_volume": 5211964.95, "trend": 477.573, "fair_value": 466.440513, "relative_strength": -19.090075, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.594824, "energy": 53.56857, "activity_lines": [ 527.275333, 504.296364, 467.259333, 465.304817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 527.76, "volume": 3753884, "typical_volume": 5212386.5, "trend": 476.383333, "fair_value": 468.664231, "relative_strength": -14.411302, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.109653, "energy": 30.74416, "activity_lines": [ 527.176, 512.502545, 474.640762, 468.542688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 571.01, "volume": 6953325, "typical_volume": 5378891.65, "trend": 474.360667, "fair_value": 470.970513, "relative_strength": -10.576467, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.546835, "energy": 39.778688, "activity_lines": [ 537.298, 525.994909, 485.990857, 474.647634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }