{ "ticker": { "uuid": "44ccd015-14bc-4600-9426-56fc350380c5", "symbol": "6121", "name": "Simplo Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 68.389, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.789, "architecture_energy": 21.442, "architecture_maturity": 47.549, "architecture_confidence": 75.874, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.81, "rotation_up": 30.97, "upward_expansion": 55.49, "deceleration": 87.07, "rotation_down": 29.96, "downward_expansion": 19.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 383.0, 387.433652, 385.544958, 375.273305 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 412.0, "trend_reference": 361.910308, "distance_from_trend": 0.138404, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 344.453222, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.196099, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.380772, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.250116, "excess_performance": -0.191256, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.138404, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050329, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.196099, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12476, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.173808, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140438, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.250116, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.539191, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7069431, "relative_activity": 1.455776, "balance": 1.539191, "dry_up": 1.095222, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088174, "annualized_volatility": 0.364971, "from_high_reference": -0.129406, "from_low_reference": 0.400708 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 361.910308, "fair_value_reference": 344.453222, "structural_low": 294.136976, 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 370.5, "volume": 6144682, "typical_volume": 4443485.2, "trend": 358.049926, "fair_value": 341.312804, "relative_strength": -24.193287, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.266098, "energy": 32.362489, "activity_lines": [ 395.665684, 396.579951, 381.863938, 369.85419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 382.5, "volume": 5524142, "typical_volume": 4571424.2, "trend": 359.021504, "fair_value": 342.115295, "relative_strength": -22.636228, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.655166, "energy": 24.477295, "activity_lines": [ 389.838861, 394.904828, 383.340162, 371.431614 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 352.5, "volume": 4972149, "typical_volume": 4595291.65, "trend": 358.944544, "fair_value": 342.733644, "relative_strength": -26.84465, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.535564, "energy": 16.818022, "activity_lines": [ 375.531222, 387.315807, 381.619362, 371.010872 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 373.0, "volume": 3708412, "typical_volume": 4589996.6, "trend": 359.987755, "fair_value": 343.475238, "relative_strength": -23.483193, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.612662, "energy": 22.262354, "activity_lines": [ 371.446665, 383.751963, 381.799532, 371.917676 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 412.0, "volume": 7069431, "typical_volume": 4856124.95, "trend": 361.910308, "fair_value": 344.453222, "relative_strength": -17.380772, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.789273, "energy": 21.442255, "activity_lines": [ 383.0, 387.433652, 385.544958, 375.273305 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }