{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "44d7517a-92c7-43cd-a1cd-c63bd9902882",
    "symbol": "X7PS",
    "name": "Invesco STOXX Europe 600 Optimised Banks UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.342,
    "architecture_energy": 91.797,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.255,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.238,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.06,
        "rotation_up": 79.75,
        "upward_expansion": 96.13,
        "deceleration": 42.78,
        "rotation_down": 13.95,
        "downward_expansion": 20.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        247.703336,
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        223.849463
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 254.800003,
    "trend_reference": 216.265334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.178182,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 141.749808,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.797533,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.24787,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.190654,
    "excess_performance": 0.019762,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178182,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06989,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.797533,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171173,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082479,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080448,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.190654,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.321476,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2164,
      "relative_activity": 1.270289,
      "balance": 2.321476,
      "dry_up": 1.134836,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028363,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.252811,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007402,
      "from_low_reference": 0.507336
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 216.265334,
      "fair_value_reference": 141.749808,
      "structural_low": 179.660004,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.025689,
        "positive_rate": 0.644444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.644444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018766,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.136684,
        "worst_return": -0.219247,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "positive_rate": 0.875,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.039182,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.207348,
        "worst_return": -0.121105,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.067837,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 2880.9,
        "trend": 197.199667,
        "fair_value": 128.002564,
        "relative_strength": 1.825507,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
          208.105333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": 0.203088,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 2997.9,
        "trend": 199.494,
        "fair_value": 129.720706,
        "relative_strength": -0.939052,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 36.122526,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 3325.6,
        "trend": 200.850667,
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        "relative_strength": 1.993027,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 43.193527,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": 2.670657,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 3222.75,
        "trend": 203.309001,
        "fair_value": 132.4675,
        "relative_strength": 1.333666,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 61.989407,
        "energy": 58.732326,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 240,
        "typical_volume": 2930.05,
        "trend": 204.479668,
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        "relative_strength": 0.686851,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 3.29044,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 207.681334,
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        "relative_strength": 5.263162,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.975782,
        "energy": 88.930096,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 240.850006,
        "volume": 60,
        "typical_volume": 2684.3,
        "trend": 209.323001,
        "fair_value": 136.4775,
        "relative_strength": 5.554008,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.463812,
        "energy": 94.61912,
        "activity_lines": [
          233.213334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 1560,
        "typical_volume": 2662.65,
        "trend": 210.818667,
        "fair_value": 137.510129,
        "relative_strength": 5.273489,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.192316,
        "energy": 91.902839,
        "activity_lines": [
          236.78,
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          215.18557
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 238.149994,
        "volume": 608,
        "typical_volume": 2620.4,
        "trend": 211.987,
        "fair_value": 138.518334,
        "relative_strength": 5.647524,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.059059,
        "energy": 87.599707,
        "activity_lines": [
          238.166665,
          232.235454,
          222.186333,
          216.948882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 243.300003,
        "volume": 3053,
        "typical_volume": 2037.05,
        "trend": 213.310333,
        "fair_value": 139.552949,
        "relative_strength": 7.773472,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.726172,
        "energy": 91.210476,
        "activity_lines": [
          240.206666,
          235.27909,
          225.039858,
          218.969075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 248.850006,
        "volume": 1908,
        "typical_volume": 1822.2,
        "trend": 214.693667,
        "fair_value": 140.628334,
        "relative_strength": 9.115889,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.079561,
        "energy": 90.461516,
        "activity_lines": [
          243.510002,
          238.669092,
          228.197668,
          221.261957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 254.800003,
        "volume": 2164,
        "typical_volume": 1703.55,
        "trend": 216.265334,
        "fair_value": 141.749808,
        "relative_strength": 8.24787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.342366,
        "energy": 91.796779,
        "activity_lines": [
          247.703336,
          242.527274,
          231.641906,
          223.849463
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}