{ "ticker": { "uuid": "44ee7dbb-e1e2-4199-bb8e-70d2ecdb6455", "symbol": "PLTR", "name": "Palantir Technologies Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 78.092, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 21.304, "architecture_energy": 18.333, "architecture_maturity": 35.656, "architecture_confidence": 46.521, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.04, "rotation_up": 50.31, "upward_expansion": 23.79, "deceleration": 42.46, "rotation_down": 18.9, "downward_expansion": 29.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 140.84, 134.064364, 134.81319, 136.888065 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 172.01, "trend_reference": 140.513333, "distance_from_trend": 0.224154, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 88.241731, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.949304, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.842632, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.26571, "excess_performance": 0.078256, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.224154, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097737, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.949304, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.191173, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.038426, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.232893, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.26571, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.246585, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 433978032, "relative_activity": 1.998678, "balance": 1.246585, "dry_up": 1.057275, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.1097, "annualized_volatility": 0.727499, "from_high_reference": -0.171116, "from_low_reference": 0.617091 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 140.513333, "fair_value_reference": 88.241731, "structural_low": 106.37, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.013597, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.053286, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.013597, "worst_return": 0.013597, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.687268, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.491662, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.687268, "worst_return": 0.687268, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.796044, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.545119, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.796044, "worst_return": 0.796044, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"down", "direction": -55.907326, "energy": 57.641987, "activity_lines": [ 125.009333, 130.874545, 135.913667, 139.78043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 126.79, "volume": 196967295, "typical_volume": 220925657.85, "trend": 146.415667, "fair_value": 85.148654, "relative_strength": -31.366067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.053508, "energy": 54.472528, "activity_lines": [ 124.991333, 129.5, 134.73281, 138.392151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 132.38, "volume": 176641005, "typical_volume": 216896493.75, "trend": 144.382333, "fair_value": 85.891923, "relative_strength": -24.751527, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.102533, "energy": 38.908414, "activity_lines": [ 127.419333, 129.456, 134.124571, 137.486624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 122.92, "volume": 143256274, "typical_volume": 207764226.9, "trend": 142.189333, "fair_value": 86.565705, "relative_strength": -28.44184, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.719691, "energy": 31.075086, "activity_lines": [ 126.401333, 127.790545, 132.638286, 136.101957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 123.06, "volume": 164400077, "typical_volume": 204689137.5, "trend": 140.696, "fair_value": 87.237885, "relative_strength": -28.198093, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.262723, "energy": 30.12712, "activity_lines": [ 125.8, 126.351818, 131.328381, 134.867806 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 172.01, "volume": 433978032, "typical_volume": 217132531.8, "trend": 140.513333, "fair_value": 88.241731, "relative_strength": -3.842632, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.303718, "energy": 18.333397, "activity_lines": [ 140.84, 134.064364, 134.81319, 136.888065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }