{ "ticker": { "uuid": "44f17a39-a3ab-44f7-9479-c121e1047918", "symbol": "FOO", "name": "Salesforce, Inc.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -1.121, "architecture_energy": 14.498, "architecture_maturity": 29.787, "architecture_confidence": 50.406, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.14, "rotation_up": 40.86, "upward_expansion": 26.54, "deceleration": 40.84, "rotation_down": 15.53, "downward_expansion": 49.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 155.129331, 149.540897, 149.618575, 151.996593 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 165.399994, "trend_reference": 157.394642, "distance_from_trend": 0.050862, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 224.221977, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.262338, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.259996, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.030432, "excess_performance": -0.034207, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050862, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.121434, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.262338, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069765, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.1526, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094998, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.030432, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.962137, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52561, "relative_activity": 1.456742, "balance": 1.962137, "dry_up": 1.590773, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077687, "annualized_volatility": 0.417421, "from_high_reference": -0.273092, "from_low_reference": 0.250189 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 157.394642, "fair_value_reference": 224.221977, "structural_low": 132.300003, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.000364, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.000606, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.230057, "worst_return": -0.274916, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.037779, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.012706, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.30819, "worst_return": -0.239711, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.110198, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.254061, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.425766, "worst_return": -0.35671, 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142.559998, "volume": 54814, "typical_volume": 33681.55, "trend": 166.207455, "fair_value": 225.278676, "relative_strength": -25.621588, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.002523, "energy": 63.596779, "activity_lines": [ 140.472001, 144.962402, 148.828514, 154.305843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 148.440002, "volume": 61241, "typical_volume": 32907.25, "trend": 163.864132, "fair_value": 224.935044, "relative_strength": -21.201349, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.151644, "energy": 37.700946, "activity_lines": [ 143.381334, 145.060675, 148.393982, 153.159556 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 143.339996, "volume": 47943, "typical_volume": 33342.35, "trend": 161.261325, "fair_value": 224.568779, "relative_strength": -24.011467, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.52553, "energy": 30.678622, "activity_lines": [ 144.191999, 144.300298, 147.539569, 151.835418 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 157.62, "volume": 67843, "typical_volume": 34826.95, "trend": 159.260459, "fair_value": 224.350637, "relative_strength": -17.52376, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.709479, "energy": 12.115879, "activity_lines": [ 149.035999, 146.248328, 148.183001, 151.600494 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 165.399994, "volume": 52561, "typical_volume": 36081.2, "trend": 157.394642, "fair_value": 224.221977, "relative_strength": -15.259996, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.12124, "energy": 14.497505, "activity_lines": [ 155.129331, 149.540897, 149.618575, 151.996593 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }