{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "44f64075-f273-4ae3-a32c-e6b48d78d726",
    "symbol": "FLXC",
    "name": "Franklin FTSE China UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 87.35,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -12.259,
    "architecture_energy": 18.377,
    "architecture_maturity": 99.353,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.6,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.11,
        "rotation_up": 39.89,
        "upward_expansion": 23.02,
        "deceleration": 41.29,
        "rotation_down": 17.85,
        "downward_expansion": 54.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.050667,
        25.682818,
        25.859643,
        26.137645
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 26.535,
    "trend_reference": 26.6525,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.004409,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 23.653449,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.121824,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.496896,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.057873,
    "excess_performance": -0.228765,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004409,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034388,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121824,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047522,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.174969,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04923,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057873,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.663154,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 86285,
      "relative_activity": 1.037466,
      "balance": 0.663154,
      "dry_up": 1.089505,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027888,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.160731,
      "from_high_reference": -0.127138,
      "from_low_reference": 0.103785
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 26.6525,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.653449,
      "structural_low": 24.040001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.027974,
        "positive_rate": 0.387097,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.612903,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029935,
        "regime_survival": 0.870968,
        "best_return": 0.131871,
        "worst_return": -0.096781,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.045709,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.086734,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.20602,
        "worst_return": -0.105164,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.001885,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.190586,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.079447,
        "worst_return": -0.142811,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.002961,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.141196,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 25.219999,
        "volume": 152123,
        "typical_volume": 86933.4,
        "trend": 26.867667,
        "fair_value": 23.564859,
        "relative_strength": -19.932541,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.417156,
        "energy": 56.268933,
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          25.135333,
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          25.851405,
          26.261215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 25.665001,
        "volume": 59653,
        "typical_volume": 84556.4,
        "trend": 26.799333,
        "fair_value": 23.586974,
        "relative_strength": -17.995139,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.927969,
        "energy": 41.529999,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.33,
          25.344182,
          25.802214,
          26.183624
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 26.280001,
        "volume": 64391,
        "typical_volume": 82283.65,
        "trend": 26.728333,
        "fair_value": 23.615885,
        "relative_strength": -16.245735,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.745022,
        "energy": 20.149123,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.708667,
          25.491728,
          25.815596,
          26.150118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.535,
        "volume": 86285,
        "typical_volume": 83169.0,
        "trend": 26.6525,
        "fair_value": 23.653449,
        "relative_strength": -17.496896,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.258725,
        "energy": 18.376805,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.050667,
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          25.859643,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}