{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "44f94346-e744-4d69-9b87-9af06d28c1f7",
    "symbol": "GFINBURO",
    "name": "Grupo Financiero Inbursa, S.A.B. de C.V.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 87.792,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 15.452,
    "architecture_energy": 22.778,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.226,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.434,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.1,
        "rotation_up": 57.21,
        "upward_expansion": 39.56,
        "deceleration": 39.42,
        "rotation_down": 20.31,
        "downward_expansion": 19.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.256002,
        42.592364,
        42.502057,
        42.600068
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 43.490002,
    "trend_reference": 42.859584,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.014709,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 43.896823,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.009268,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.359428,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.028225,
    "excess_performance": 0.026442,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014709,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002315,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009268,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027367,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033594,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137427,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028225,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.476065,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5370244,
      "relative_activity": 0.817183,
      "balance": 1.476065,
      "dry_up": 1.256254,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.036914,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.159134,
      "from_high_reference": -0.166376,
      "from_low_reference": 0.101009
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 42.859584,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.896823,
      "structural_low": 39.500128,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.001625,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013241,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.081133,
        "worst_return": -0.017914,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.284083,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.213787,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.287019,
        "worst_return": 0.050881,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.090412,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.043665,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.786058,
        "worst_return": 0.054749,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.083512,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.130895,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.766827,
        "worst_return": -0.057431,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.157511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014284,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006035,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.017443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041838,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046329,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05758,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.041034,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.059624,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.073083,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -53.728188,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 42.540001,
        "volume": 9738699,
        "typical_volume": 6887178.45,
        "trend": 42.776943,
        "fair_value": 43.807412,
        "relative_strength": -5.639577,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -34.836849,
        "energy": 17.153409,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.490002,
        "volume": 11993236,
        "typical_volume": 7087427.0,
        "trend": 42.850361,
        "fair_value": 43.846439,
        "relative_strength": -1.69403,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.440029,
        "energy": 17.788979,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.899334,
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          42.410907,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.490002,
        "volume": 5370244,
        "typical_volume": 6571656.55,
        "trend": 42.859584,
        "fair_value": 43.896823,
        "relative_strength": -3.359428,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.452341,
        "energy": 22.777942,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}