{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4506f153-c93d-4461-a7c4-2ba7c7492008",
    "symbol": "EPI-B",
    "name": "Epiroc AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 68.455,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -22.401,
    "architecture_energy": 43.82,
    "architecture_maturity": 5.681,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.949,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.01,
        "rotation_up": 14.66,
        "upward_expansion": 22.41,
        "deceleration": 52.39,
        "rotation_down": 64.67,
        "downward_expansion": 49.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        210.600003,
        215.080001,
        220.413142,
        219.539139
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 213.600006,
    "trend_reference": 218.185513,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.021017,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 183.208641,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.165884,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.58329,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.069268,
    "excess_performance": -0.130762,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021017,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062703,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165884,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13576,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055833,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.156796,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069268,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.227251,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1831386,
      "relative_activity": 1.293666,
      "balance": 1.227251,
      "dry_up": 1.349764,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057476,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.346962,
      "from_high_reference": -0.115162,
      "from_low_reference": 0.290422
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 218.185513,
      "fair_value_reference": 183.208641,
      "structural_low": 184.66849,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.022106,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031217,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.084963,
        "worst_return": -0.084507,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.060394,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.086354,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.11117,
        "worst_return": 0.009618,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.019044,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018544,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.081202,
        "worst_return": -0.043114,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.062734,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021617,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.089969,
        "worst_return": 0.035499,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04359,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.135092,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.195834,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023711,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013009,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.049447,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044274,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.123805,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.06594,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.099898,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.039426,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.062776,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.023969,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 1481263.05,
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        "relative_strength": -6.938751,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 212.0,
        "volume": 2108700,
        "typical_volume": 1493125.35,
        "trend": 216.727556,
        "fair_value": 182.611367,
        "relative_strength": -3.105039,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.298208,
        "energy": 26.305797,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 208.600006,
        "volume": 2278239,
        "typical_volume": 1507699.35,
        "trend": 217.535191,
        "fair_value": 182.894281,
        "relative_strength": -5.970907,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.963871,
        "energy": 40.886515,
        "activity_lines": [
          210.533334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 213.600006,
        "volume": 1831386,
        "typical_volume": 1415655.6,
        "trend": 218.185513,
        "fair_value": 183.208641,
        "relative_strength": -5.58329,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.401171,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}