{ "ticker": { "uuid": "450dc6e6-8336-4f2d-8c2b-17b031787d9b", "symbol": "KLV", "name": "KLEVO FPO [KLV]", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -0.876, "architecture_energy": 20.9, "architecture_maturity": 59.411, "architecture_confidence": 71.187, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.97, "rotation_up": 14.11, "upward_expansion": 42.38, "deceleration": 87.09, "rotation_down": 48.07, "downward_expansion": 38.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.05, 0.059345, 0.061205, 0.054361 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.048, "trend_reference": 0.044333, "distance_from_trend": 0.082707, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.015859, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.026677, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 56.490429, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.0, "excess_performance": 0.936294, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082707, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.819425, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.026677, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.383217, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.564904, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.993675, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.988368, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1834040, "relative_activity": 0.376068, "balance": 1.988368, "dry_up": 0.445145, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.328526, "annualized_volatility": 1.617224, "from_high_reference": -0.542857, "from_low_reference": 11.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.044333, "fair_value_reference": 0.015859, "structural_low": 0.016, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.166667, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.190794, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.166667, "worst_return": 1.166667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.916667, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.93392, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.916667, "worst_return": 0.916667, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-08-18", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.466667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.909091, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.083333, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": 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"volume": 1861789, "typical_volume": 5419415.75, "trend": 0.0416, "fair_value": 0.015455, "relative_strength": 88.286012, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.878326, "energy": 26.001749, "activity_lines": [ 0.0578, 0.067327, 0.062252, 0.053626 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.048, "volume": 2565716, "typical_volume": 5310412.35, "trend": 0.043, "fair_value": 0.015654, "relative_strength": 65.488197, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.375094, "energy": 25.645551, "activity_lines": [ 0.052933, 0.063255, 0.061781, 0.054039 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.048, "volume": 1834040, "typical_volume": 4876880.6, "trend": 0.044333, "fair_value": 0.015859, "relative_strength": 56.490429, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.875855, "energy": 20.900128, "activity_lines": [ 0.05, 0.059345, 0.061205, 0.054361 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }