{ "ticker": { "uuid": "452106db-8256-44b2-89c1-bc1ce63d0c5d", "symbol": "RAJMET", "name": "Rajnandini Metal Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.778, "architecture_energy": 76.455, "architecture_maturity": 18.862, "architecture_confidence": 84.599, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.28, "rotation_up": 8.96, "upward_expansion": 17.39, "deceleration": 37.24, "rotation_down": 79.82, "downward_expansion": 95.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.351333, 3.469273, 3.636048, 3.680731 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 3.35, "trend_reference": 3.767333, "distance_from_trend": -0.110777, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.678269, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.563704, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.090648, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.160401, "excess_performance": -0.116692, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.110777, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054859, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.563704, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062271, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.160906, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113632, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.160401, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.141718, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 882043, "relative_activity": 0.843473, "balance": 0.141718, "dry_up": 0.982217, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067509, "annualized_volatility": 0.397182, "from_high_reference": -0.36553, "from_low_reference": 0.231618 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.767333, "fair_value_reference": 7.678269, "structural_low": 2.72, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.046218, "positive_rate": 0.257143, "directional_follow_through": 0.742857, "median_excess_return": -0.044575, "regime_survival": 0.914286, "best_return": 0.300905, "worst_return": -0.363985, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.129741, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.106241, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.119457, "worst_return": -0.570881, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.192137, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.237274, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.140541, "worst_return": -0.645594, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.002702, "energy": 75.163675, "activity_lines": [ 3.568, 3.662182, 3.748429, 3.779914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.36, "volume": 1289810, "typical_volume": 1146162.6, "trend": 3.849333, "fair_value": 7.751538, "relative_strength": -14.164326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.536842, "energy": 76.464364, "activity_lines": [ 3.479333, 3.592727, 3.712286, 3.747075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.27, "volume": 718044, "typical_volume": 1088734.2, "trend": 3.799, "fair_value": 7.714487, "relative_strength": -17.999237, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.873281, "energy": 80.997775, "activity_lines": [ 3.388, 3.517818, 3.669714, 3.709699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.35, "volume": 882043, "typical_volume": 1045727.15, "trend": 3.767333, "fair_value": 7.678269, "relative_strength": -16.090648, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.777735, "energy": 76.455387, "activity_lines": [ 3.351333, 3.469273, 3.636048, 3.680731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }