{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4527349e-4052-4010-89b3-a0faaa614bcc",
    "symbol": "KCP",
    "name": "The KCP Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.136,
    "architecture_energy": 21.594,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.542,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.355,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.95,
        "rotation_up": 20.83,
        "upward_expansion": 23.5,
        "deceleration": 58.94,
        "rotation_down": 55.74,
        "downward_expansion": 34.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        160.95673,
        164.062754,
        165.165399,
        163.199239
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 154.960007,
    "trend_reference": 162.573441,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.046831,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 188.863014,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.179511,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.736466,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.100168,
    "excess_performance": -0.056459,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046831,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034359,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.179511,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.143878,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107365,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.096275,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100168,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.396376,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1469274,
      "relative_activity": 1.664457,
      "balance": 0.396376,
      "dry_up": 0.834235,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.063387,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.389781,
      "from_high_reference": -0.277239,
      "from_low_reference": 0.23968
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 162.573441,
      "fair_value_reference": 188.863014,
      "structural_low": 125.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.001323,
        "positive_rate": 0.478261,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.478261,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01743,
        "regime_survival": 0.695652,
        "best_return": 0.125718,
        "worst_return": -0.146627,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.003409,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040507,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.173814,
        "worst_return": -0.212204,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.048957,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.101516,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.246747,
        "worst_return": -0.253662,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.016765,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.083527,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.58679,
        "worst_return": -0.188607,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-04-28",
        "end": "2023-07-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040643,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-07-21",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.497246,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.437392,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.021265,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.12496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076741,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.045247,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.004107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.079122,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.111361,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1046890.95,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 986258.85,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 164.812518,
        "fair_value": 187.67155,
        "relative_strength": -2.366297,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 24.53362,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 166.127701,
        "volume": 690658,
        "typical_volume": 925684.15,
        "trend": 164.389775,
        "fair_value": 188.011843,
        "relative_strength": -4.687633,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.468031,
        "energy": 22.791153,
        "activity_lines": [
          168.682998,
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          165.620016,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 162.139999,
        "volume": 470782,
        "typical_volume": 911171.35,
        "trend": 163.702108,
        "fair_value": 188.334216,
        "relative_strength": -4.326608,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.02243,
        "energy": 15.310576,
        "activity_lines": [
          166.426116,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 162.699997,
        "volume": 314920,
        "typical_volume": 875767.95,
        "trend": 163.117108,
        "fair_value": 188.620699,
        "relative_strength": -6.030086,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.563061,
        "energy": 13.842602,
        "activity_lines": [
          164.736567,
          166.081175,
          165.868366,
          163.725503
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 154.960007,
        "volume": 1469274,
        "typical_volume": 882734.95,
        "trend": 162.573441,
        "fair_value": 188.863014,
        "relative_strength": -10.736466,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.136375,
        "energy": 21.594237,
        "activity_lines": [
          160.95673,
          164.062754,
          165.165399,
          163.199239
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}