{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4532dea9-3f08-44eb-9444-abf7485b7221", "symbol": "HUT", "name": "Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.428, "architecture_energy": 15.147, "architecture_maturity": 59.749, "architecture_confidence": 93.095, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.24, "rotation_up": 24.66, "upward_expansion": 55.99, "deceleration": 88.01, "rotation_down": 31.38, "downward_expansion": 19.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 99.237333, 103.436727, 103.061476, 93.38828 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 88.59, "trend_reference": 80.937333, "distance_from_trend": 0.094551, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.613686, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.893804, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.765663, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.669619, "excess_performance": 0.482166, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094551, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.347294, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.893804, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.426676, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.257657, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.777511, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.669619, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.035055, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25039013, "relative_activity": 1.09896, "balance": 1.035055, "dry_up": 1.027823, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.2668, "annualized_volatility": 0.864954, "from_high_reference": -0.37081, "from_low_reference": 3.496954 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.937333, "fair_value_reference": 30.613686, "structural_low": 42.06, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.038136, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.036963, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.671075, "worst_return": -0.352969, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.012722, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.023412, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.345106, "worst_return": -0.480342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.139228, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.063645, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.774, "worst_return": -0.785877, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.099926, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.364611, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.179321, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.108795, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.472556, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": 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85.731054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 102.22, "volume": 17451451, "typical_volume": 22468716.8, "trend": 74.517667, "fair_value": 28.48734, "relative_strength": 57.918096, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.795357, "energy": 36.12744, "activity_lines": [ 109.097333, 111.754182, 98.921714, 87.64929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 91.45, "volume": 18474165, "typical_volume": 21872544.85, "trend": 76.095333, "fair_value": 28.957212, "relative_strength": 44.519226, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.770387, "energy": 23.057562, "activity_lines": [ 101.868667, 108.207273, 99.555, 88.741699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 109.99, "volume": 24222623, "typical_volume": 22048400.15, "trend": 78.107, "fair_value": 29.550737, "relative_strength": 72.105206, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.898576, "energy": 24.168663, "activity_lines": [ 102.647333, 108.158727, 101.772, 90.928452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 107.63, "volume": 25937068, "typical_volume": 22420465.4, "trend": 79.985667, "fair_value": 30.140994, "relative_strength": 63.433935, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.256289, "energy": 18.720704, "activity_lines": [ 103.602667, 107.544364, 103.464619, 92.833161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 88.59, "volume": 25039013, "typical_volume": 22784287.6, "trend": 80.937333, "fair_value": 30.613686, "relative_strength": 25.765663, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.427507, "energy": 15.146568, "activity_lines": [ 99.237333, 103.436727, 103.061476, 93.38828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }