{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4533599d-f276-48c3-a553-957d0d12921a",
    "symbol": "SNSR",
    "name": "Global X Internet of Things UCITS ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 54.131,
    "architecture_energy": 34.975,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.693,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.462,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.25,
        "rotation_up": 30.37,
        "upward_expansion": 59.89,
        "deceleration": 88.33,
        "rotation_down": 32.48,
        "downward_expansion": 21.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        15.864,
        16.055927,
        15.922362,
        15.312241
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 16.628,
    "trend_reference": 14.507533,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.146163,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.669545,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.312439,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.643082,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.329602,
    "excess_performance": 0.15871,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146163,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099633,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.312439,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049397,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046431,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025217,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.329602,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.036963,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 229,
      "relative_activity": 0.573504,
      "balance": 1.036963,
      "dry_up": 1.019284,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039211,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.284622,
      "from_high_reference": -0.049285,
      "from_low_reference": 0.422656
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.507533,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.669545,
      "structural_low": 12.21,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.008454,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025816,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.060646,
        "worst_return": -0.040989,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.003173,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019082,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.001956,
        "worst_return": -0.008302,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.051561,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030882,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.101003,
        "worst_return": 0.002119,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.037357,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.162398,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.037357,
        "worst_return": 0.037357,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031974,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.071024,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01779,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.030628,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.178134,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.191882,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.018677,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.00237,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.024147,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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          13.139533,
          12.960916
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 618.4,
        "trend": 12.882067,
        "fair_value": 12.290968,
        "relative_strength": 7.164817,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 97.450941,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.583467,
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        ]
      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 628.65,
        "trend": 12.971333,
        "fair_value": 12.318532,
        "relative_strength": 8.023517,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.664892,
        "energy": 96.981554,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "fair_value": 12.34875,
        "relative_strength": 8.597981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 95.194475,
        "activity_lines": [
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          13.876352,
          13.497772
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 727.45,
        "trend": 13.193067,
        "fair_value": 12.382686,
        "relative_strength": 15.099824,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 98.206346,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 17.076,
        "volume": 4,
        "typical_volume": 714.6,
        "trend": 13.361133,
        "fair_value": 12.415519,
        "relative_strength": 15.647058,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 95.925327,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 16.414,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 713.85,
        "trend": 13.504267,
        "fair_value": 12.443353,
        "relative_strength": 7.674829,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 78.206239,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 12.477724,
        "relative_strength": 8.126644,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.013511,
        "energy": 70.873519,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 16.318001,
        "volume": 1604,
        "typical_volume": 704.65,
        "trend": 13.815267,
        "fair_value": 12.50725,
        "relative_strength": 7.337497,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.415137,
        "energy": 66.466124,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.646934,
          16.365782,
          15.261972,
          14.590409
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 16.496,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 677.05,
        "trend": 13.937467,
        "fair_value": 12.53784,
        "relative_strength": 5.354108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.756138,
        "energy": 62.873634,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.563067,
          16.462109,
          15.456991,
          14.763359
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 16.554001,
        "volume": 655,
        "typical_volume": 673.85,
        "trend": 14.066,
        "fair_value": 12.568801,
        "relative_strength": 6.144071,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.324266,
        "energy": 62.409297,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.532134,
          16.530109,
          15.640838,
          14.932168
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 15.448,
        "volume": 203,
        "typical_volume": 683.9,
        "trend": 14.171667,
        "fair_value": 12.590622,
        "relative_strength": 0.555604,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.647926,
        "energy": 41.609422,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.167334,
          16.361564,
          15.703619,
          15.021329
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.446,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 501.25,
        "trend": 14.277267,
        "fair_value": 12.611788,
        "relative_strength": 0.740683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.856306,
        "energy": 30.78086,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.866267,
          16.194037,
          15.756648,
          15.103544
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.258,
        "volume": 1195,
        "typical_volume": 476.85,
        "trend": 14.373933,
        "fair_value": 12.635327,
        "relative_strength": -1.03235,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.714117,
        "energy": 32.159324,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.601467,
          15.9952,
          15.780114,
          15.166817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.628,
        "volume": 229,
        "typical_volume": 399.3,
        "trend": 14.507533,
        "fair_value": 12.669545,
        "relative_strength": 4.643082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.130975,
        "energy": 34.975484,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.864,
          16.055927,
          15.922362,
          15.312241
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}