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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.784, "architecture_energy": 48.921, "architecture_maturity": 91.815, "architecture_confidence": 87.512, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.72, "rotation_up": 35.92, "upward_expansion": 67.83, "deceleration": 91.14, "rotation_down": 27.98, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 2060.574023, 2070.049081, 2036.661259, 1989.15933 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2050.320068, "trend_reference": 1933.927201, "distance_from_trend": 0.060185, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1654.276465, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.239406, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.882791, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.132607, "excess_performance": 0.187274, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060185, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045115, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.239406, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00574, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.068828, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067345, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.132607, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.779138, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120, "relative_activity": 0.240264, "balance": 0.779138, "dry_up": 0.389929, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016132, "annualized_volatility": 0.11662, "from_high_reference": -0.035143, "from_low_reference": 0.245626 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1933.927201, "fair_value_reference": 1654.276465, 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{ "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2080.0, "volume": 485, "typical_volume": 790.95, "trend": 1910.292969, "fair_value": 1639.79208, "relative_strength": 9.347472, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.691908, "energy": 79.855227, "activity_lines": [ 2093.877344, 2069.223105, 2009.345277, 1962.349596 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2080.550049, "volume": 26, "typical_volume": 791.05, "trend": 1919.196395, "fair_value": 1644.769418, "relative_strength": 9.648038, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.484646, "energy": 68.526624, "activity_lines": [ 2090.126026, 2075.326427, 2021.84999, 1973.333924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2040.949951, "volume": 148, "typical_volume": 797.95, "trend": 1926.779818, "fair_value": 1649.492909, "relative_strength": 6.560313, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.067613, "energy": 56.196923, "activity_lines": [ 2071.671338, 2072.291575, 2029.429421, 1981.188992 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2050.320068, "volume": 120, "typical_volume": 499.45, "trend": 1933.927201, "fair_value": 1654.276465, "relative_strength": 6.882791, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.783984, "energy": 48.920921, "activity_lines": [ 2060.574023, 2070.049081, 2036.661259, 1989.15933 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }