{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "45373a42-6596-4d7d-b09e-383c7984a241",
    "symbol": "ALLD3",
    "name": "Allied Tecnologia S.A.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -68.071,
    "architecture_energy": 67.636,
    "architecture_maturity": 86.209,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.37,
        "rotation_up": 29.1,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 59.07,
        "rotation_down": 59.62,
        "downward_expansion": 87.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.581333,
        4.682364,
        5.134714,
        5.608851
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.6,
    "trend_reference": 6.2644,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.265692,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.126171,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.102644,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -33.445919,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.411012,
    "excess_performance": -0.353963,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.265692,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.136412,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102644,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.350881,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.334459,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135306,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.411012,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.320799,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1195800,
      "relative_activity": 0.747828,
      "balance": 0.320799,
      "dry_up": 0.804503,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.06087,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.20515,
      "from_high_reference": -0.441347,
      "from_low_reference": 0.038375
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.2644,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.126171,
      "structural_low": 4.43,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.0848,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": -0.066681,
        "regime_survival": 0.909091,
        "best_return": 0.481481,
        "worst_return": -0.185131,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.229039,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.161912,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.2672,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.096573,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073794,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.212581,
        "worst_return": -0.405727,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.279396,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "best_return": -0.279396,
        "worst_return": -0.279396,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.087984,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 5.083221,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 6.602985,
        "fair_value": 5.100952,
        "relative_strength": -35.315069,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.14871,
        "energy": 87.935255,
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          4.714,
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          5.509667,
          5.98185
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1133900,
        "typical_volume": 1610095.0,
        "trend": 6.490561,
        "fair_value": 5.109228,
        "relative_strength": -36.375955,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.096738,
        "energy": 71.957613,
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          4.632667,
          4.828727,
          5.366952,
          5.846818
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.58,
        "volume": 901000,
        "typical_volume": 1586960.0,
        "trend": 6.377939,
        "fair_value": 5.118073,
        "relative_strength": -36.322134,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.068041,
        "energy": 69.184408,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.596,
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          5.243286,
          5.723556
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.6,
        "volume": 1195800,
        "typical_volume": 1599030.0,
        "trend": 6.2644,
        "fair_value": 5.126171,
        "relative_strength": -33.445919,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.071386,
        "energy": 67.635523,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.581333,
          4.682364,
          5.134714,
          5.608851
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}