{ "ticker": { "uuid": "453aeaf1-93a4-404c-9ddd-9e595a0a9ed2", "symbol": "42F", "name": "TOTM Technologies Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 56.553, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 9.408, "architecture_energy": 8.555, "architecture_maturity": 25.76, "architecture_confidence": 57.369, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.68, "rotation_up": 38.27, "upward_expansion": 20.89, "deceleration": 48.73, "rotation_down": 23.45, "downward_expansion": 32.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.024333, 0.024018, 0.02469, 0.024744 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.026, "trend_reference": 0.0245, "distance_from_trend": 0.061224, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.026686, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.025703, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.440398, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.238095, "excess_performance": 0.08326, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061224, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012097, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.025703, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087561, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.144404, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204732, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.238095, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.412115, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17440100, "relative_activity": 0.801275, "balance": 1.412115, "dry_up": 0.364604, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073964, "annualized_volatility": 0.38663, "from_high_reference": -0.235294, "from_low_reference": 0.368421 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0245, "fair_value_reference": 0.026686, "structural_low": 0.019, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.042553, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.181818, "median_excess_return": -0.061123, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.037037, "worst_return": -0.210526, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.134783, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.183033, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.076923, "worst_return": -0.289474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.234783, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.259851, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.076923, "worst_return": -0.578947, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 22003050.0, "trend": 0.0244, "fair_value": 0.027282, "relative_strength": -22.735066, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.107899, "energy": 50.50415, "activity_lines": [ 0.0234, 0.024091, 0.025052, 0.024791 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.024, "volume": 11335800, "typical_volume": 22278330.0, "trend": 0.0244, "fair_value": 0.02709, "relative_strength": -19.98001, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.17244, "energy": 38.619412, "activity_lines": [ 0.023533, 0.023964, 0.024952, 0.024766 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.024, "volume": 1291100, "typical_volume": 21920755.0, "trend": 0.024467, "fair_value": 0.026923, "relative_strength": -20.470362, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.55795, "energy": 17.537364, "activity_lines": [ 0.023733, 0.023891, 0.024843, 0.02474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.023, "volume": 1676100, "typical_volume": 21589380.0, "trend": 0.024467, "fair_value": 0.026782, "relative_strength": -23.803605, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.462902, "energy": 25.570601, "activity_lines": [ 0.023533, 0.023655, 0.024624, 0.024645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.026, "volume": 17440100, "typical_volume": 21765440.0, "trend": 0.0245, "fair_value": 0.026686, "relative_strength": -14.440398, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.408214, "energy": 8.55491, "activity_lines": [ 0.024333, 0.024018, 0.02469, 0.024744 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }