{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "456ca810-7b9b-40ea-b9f1-2072299d3ced",
    "symbol": "PHM",
    "name": "PulteGroup, Inc.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 76.651,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.722,
    "architecture_energy": 72.466,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.559,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.411,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.05,
        "rotation_up": 75.05,
        "upward_expansion": 85.51,
        "deceleration": 55.68,
        "rotation_down": 8.28,
        "downward_expansion": 14.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2420.0,
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        2238.384268
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 2420.0,
    "trend_reference": 2236.619158,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.08199,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2107.256119,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148413,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.458629,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.049555,
    "excess_performance": 0.104221,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08199,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002969,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148413,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112611,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034586,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.193701,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049555,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.009009,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.009009,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021821,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.315515,
      "from_high_reference": -0.053654,
      "from_low_reference": 0.258611
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2236.619158,
      "fair_value_reference": 2107.256119,
      "structural_low": 1922.75415,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.002334,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023737,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.075953,
        "worst_return": -0.087853,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.001794,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.068474,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.13959,
        "worst_return": -0.186048,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.019993,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.169669,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.231619,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "best_return": 0.700137,
        "worst_return": -0.289948,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.204533,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-08-02",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.109545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 136.0,
        "trend": 2232.810491,
        "fair_value": 2100.855342,
        "relative_strength": 3.303396,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.249699,
        "energy": 78.928197,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2420.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 136.0,
        "trend": 2236.619158,
        "fair_value": 2107.256119,
        "relative_strength": 3.458629,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.721869,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}