{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "456f4bef-5fb0-4473-9582-f736596130a9",
    "symbol": "AMG",
    "name": "Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.859,
    "architecture_energy": 57.365,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.856,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.692,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.38,
        "rotation_up": 61.55,
        "upward_expansion": 82.66,
        "deceleration": 58.66,
        "rotation_down": 19.9,
        "downward_expansion": 9.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        366.424,
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        340.890389,
        327.313404
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 369.7,
    "trend_reference": 315.642904,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.17126,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 206.692163,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.78865,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 14.522439,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.210229,
    "excess_performance": 0.084604,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17126,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091112,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.78865,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20397,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.145224,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075327,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.210229,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.231628,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1137303,
      "relative_activity": 0.737508,
      "balance": 2.231628,
      "dry_up": 0.843868,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061843,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.365521,
      "from_high_reference": -0.059096,
      "from_low_reference": 0.746442
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 315.642904,
      "fair_value_reference": 206.692163,
      "structural_low": 254.431555,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.008979,
        "positive_rate": 0.586207,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.586207,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002718,
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        "best_return": 0.129771,
        "worst_return": -0.20182,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sample_count": 6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.277944,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1624091.95,
        "trend": 310.989894,
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        "relative_strength": 17.756012,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 62.512379,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 366.73,
        "volume": 1254334,
        "typical_volume": 1590384.25,
        "trend": 313.586544,
        "fair_value": 205.181087,
        "relative_strength": 18.370309,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.405298,
        "energy": 66.198834,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 369.7,
        "volume": 1137303,
        "typical_volume": 1542088.7,
        "trend": 315.642904,
        "fair_value": 206.692163,
        "relative_strength": 14.522439,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.858876,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}