{ "ticker": { "uuid": "45713e7d-20bd-4d7f-ba48-06d371f62a76", "symbol": "SLRC", "name": "SLR Investment Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.468, "architecture_energy": 22.427, "architecture_maturity": 58.866, "architecture_confidence": 83.286, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.17, "rotation_up": 28.53, "upward_expansion": 19.84, "deceleration": 42.45, "rotation_down": 26.79, "downward_expansion": 58.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.923333, 12.800827, 13.003477, 13.270356 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.1, "trend_reference": 13.603757, "distance_from_trend": -0.037031, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.289419, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.014253, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.257048, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.090366, "excess_performance": -0.277819, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037031, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042572, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.014253, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018409, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.18257, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060619, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.090366, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.694644, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2439129, "relative_activity": 1.182607, "balance": 0.694644, "dry_up": 1.041164, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040373, "annualized_volatility": 0.296383, "from_high_reference": -0.179736, "from_low_reference": 0.079967 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.603757, "fair_value_reference": 13.289419, "structural_low": 12.13, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.029839, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.042443, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.126851, "worst_return": -0.123791, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.014847, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.015682, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.046513, "worst_return": -0.091155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.087571, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.004482, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.043149, "worst_return": -0.112565, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.871292, "energy": 45.002057, "activity_lines": [ 12.606667, 12.617892, 13.209193, 13.480084 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.12, "volume": 1242612, "typical_volume": 1968096.35, "trend": 13.781529, "fair_value": 13.258175, "relative_strength": -16.512879, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.990366, "energy": 33.88251, "activity_lines": [ 12.788, 12.696454, 13.170419, 13.434425 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.94, "volume": 1768312, "typical_volume": 1981660.6, "trend": 13.724915, "fair_value": 13.269365, "relative_strength": -15.804924, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.960454, "energy": 25.700339, "activity_lines": [ 12.882, 12.743177, 13.117127, 13.380132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.58, "volume": 3139559, "typical_volume": 2047150.8, "trend": 13.656618, "fair_value": 13.277773, "relative_strength": -18.057472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.456329, "energy": 24.10921, "activity_lines": [ 12.821333, 12.723991, 13.033348, 13.306267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.1, "volume": 2439129, "typical_volume": 2062501.2, "trend": 13.603757, "fair_value": 13.289419, "relative_strength": -18.257048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.467933, "energy": 22.4265, "activity_lines": [ 12.923333, 12.800827, 13.003477, 13.270356 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }