{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4583a3ec-e6e1-4bf1-8eb7-b53980ae05f0",
    "symbol": "NUGO",
    "name": "NUSHARES ETF TRUST GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 69.678,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.831,
    "architecture_energy": 36.658,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.043,
    "architecture_confidence": 51.747,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.57,
        "rotation_up": 41.03,
        "upward_expansion": 68.35,
        "deceleration": 71.02,
        "rotation_down": 25.38,
        "downward_expansion": 8.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        42.8393,
        42.606096,
        42.385634,
        41.433658
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 44.3319,
    "trend_reference": 40.359073,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.098437,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.555837,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.321138,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.95417,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.159941,
    "excess_performance": 0.034316,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098437,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022796,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.321138,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02045,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009542,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007123,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159941,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.087648,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 278254,
      "relative_activity": 0.372275,
      "balance": 1.087648,
      "dry_up": 0.515329,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04137,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.224667,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004672,
      "from_low_reference": 0.293229
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 40.359073,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.555837,
      "structural_low": 34.28,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.007072,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00781,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.135345,
        "worst_return": -0.049341,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.054569,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005869,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.145981,
        "worst_return": -0.072971,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.167387,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020937,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.232006,
        "worst_return": 0.045072,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.268471,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055741,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.357721,
        "worst_return": 0.179222,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.085501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.057375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.131445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.171739,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076921,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.08029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018228,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.023288,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.124415,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035637,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.045071,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 32.927027,
        "relative_strength": -2.029281,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 725039.75,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 716156.3,
        "trend": 40.09996,
        "fair_value": 33.178088,
        "relative_strength": -2.507451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.222668,
        "energy": 26.64269,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 41.61,
        "volume": 25987,
        "typical_volume": 695845.8,
        "trend": 40.143627,
        "fair_value": 33.293944,
        "relative_strength": -2.909701,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.932707,
        "energy": 26.764835,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 42.12,
        "volume": 1018361,
        "typical_volume": 745147.3,
        "trend": 40.220627,
        "fair_value": 33.41709,
        "relative_strength": -2.680466,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.45975,
        "energy": 23.045802,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.175333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 44.3319,
        "volume": 278254,
        "typical_volume": 747443.05,
        "trend": 40.359073,
        "fair_value": 33.555837,
        "relative_strength": -0.95417,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.830571,
        "energy": 36.658179,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}