{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4590c2b7-28a0-40a1-b6e6-d6fd494c9f64", "symbol": "6194", "name": "Yufo Electronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.243, "architecture_energy": 45.902, "architecture_maturity": 13.584, "architecture_confidence": 88.437, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.94, "rotation_up": 14.28, "upward_expansion": 7.47, "deceleration": 43.49, "rotation_down": 65.13, "downward_expansion": 85.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.763334, 30.037154, 30.611322, 30.791658 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 29.700001, "trend_reference": 31.092984, "distance_from_trend": -0.044801, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.174544, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.07691, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.625438, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.063364, "excess_performance": -0.504736, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044801, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034178, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.07691, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042014, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.346254, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018525, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.063364, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.875858, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 334721, "relative_activity": 0.77479, "balance": 0.875858, "dry_up": 0.495463, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049783, "annualized_volatility": 0.146254, "from_high_reference": -0.284634, "from_low_reference": 0.031073 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.092984, "fair_value_reference": 32.174544, "structural_low": 28.804936, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.012137, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.59375, "median_excess_return": -0.004796, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 0.107143, "worst_return": -0.143411, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.038518, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.001411, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.163756, "worst_return": -0.090336, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.075095, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.002119, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.499225, "worst_return": -0.13745, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.770222, "energy": 51.43077, "activity_lines": [ 30.399926, 30.8808, 31.085528, 31.187252 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.25, "volume": 166000, "typical_volume": 622385.5, "trend": 31.383021, "fair_value": 32.137491, "relative_strength": -32.901721, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.804126, "energy": 44.995789, "activity_lines": [ 30.309958, 30.706292, 31.007518, 31.107125 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.549999, "volume": 208000, "typical_volume": 619179.6, "trend": 31.274544, "fair_value": 32.155597, "relative_strength": -32.740844, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.299291, "energy": 53.239925, "activity_lines": [ 30.026804, 30.411998, 30.861855, 30.988865 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.700001, "volume": 147470, "typical_volume": 601829.15, "trend": 31.182177, "fair_value": 32.159588, "relative_strength": -33.14042, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.640973, "energy": 49.447693, "activity_lines": [ 29.848726, 30.19549, 30.734412, 30.887282 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 29.700001, "volume": 334721, "typical_volume": 432015.2, "trend": 31.092984, "fair_value": 32.174544, "relative_strength": -34.625438, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.24326, "energy": 45.901581, "activity_lines": [ 29.763334, 30.037154, 30.611322, 30.791658 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }