{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "45964d19-9bd0-486c-a778-6a75b22ff8ab",
    "symbol": "LUV",
    "name": "Southwest Airlines Company",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.969,
    "architecture_energy": 20.776,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.227,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.362,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.77,
        "rotation_up": 24.57,
        "upward_expansion": 59.94,
        "deceleration": 90.42,
        "rotation_down": 27.8,
        "downward_expansion": 14.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.330667,
        47.238579,
        45.338997,
        44.426223
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 47.05,
    "trend_reference": 44.11428,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.066548,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.357021,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.454089,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.348821,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.125296,
    "excess_performance": -0.250921,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066548,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077079,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.454089,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134162,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053488,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050911,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.125296,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.090628,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 27540476,
      "relative_activity": 0.861197,
      "balance": 1.090628,
      "dry_up": 0.881847,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079321,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.44846,
      "from_high_reference": -0.138787,
      "from_low_reference": 0.654316
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 44.11428,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.357021,
      "structural_low": 35.585377,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.014356,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028567,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.17878,
        "worst_return": -0.073998,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.013664,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05746,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.222151,
        "worst_return": -0.223791,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.046187,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.080078,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.068112,
        "worst_return": 0.024263,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.161524,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.449281,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.161524,
        "worst_return": -0.161524,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.260307,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005001,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.15454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.208277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.050269,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.045927,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.079373,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035741,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": 0.121419,
        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 0.790769,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 25.888731,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 12.703767,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 63.82264,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 35887910.05,
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        "relative_strength": 13.378207,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.273045,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 34596748.45,
        "trend": 43.882814,
        "fair_value": 32.166104,
        "relative_strength": 6.597807,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 56.86771,
        "energy": 40.255006,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.97,
        "volume": 25817624,
        "typical_volume": 33187943.85,
        "trend": 44.017082,
        "fair_value": 32.257809,
        "relative_strength": 4.740154,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.78702,
        "energy": 22.93866,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.05,
        "volume": 27540476,
        "typical_volume": 31979304.15,
        "trend": 44.11428,
        "fair_value": 32.357021,
        "relative_strength": 5.348821,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.969001,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}