{ "ticker": { "uuid": "459f6a51-d9bd-402a-8553-01891036c682", "symbol": "300550", "name": "Heren Health Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.152, "architecture_energy": 63.57, "architecture_maturity": 10.737, "architecture_confidence": 76.698, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.81, "rotation_up": 10.85, "upward_expansion": 14.51, "deceleration": 36.49, "rotation_down": 70.24, "downward_expansion": 83.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.398667, 12.481098, 13.041756, 13.09963 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.94, "trend_reference": 13.403864, "distance_from_trend": -0.109212, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.988983, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080759, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.454716, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.171409, "excess_performance": -0.178808, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109212, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012159, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.080759, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108863, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.134547, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030885, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.171409, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.942239, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34238590, "relative_activity": 1.127077, "balance": 0.942239, "dry_up": 1.190283, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.150201, "annualized_volatility": 0.668961, "from_high_reference": -0.295575, "from_low_reference": 0.214649 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.403864, "fair_value_reference": 12.988983, "structural_low": 9.83, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.060771, "positive_rate": 0.65, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": 0.039113, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.22816, "worst_return": -0.123744, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.108214, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.056522, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.330916, "worst_return": -0.229935, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.016022, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.003894, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.569994, "worst_return": -0.214876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.008798, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.094042, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.144981, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.061559, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.122089, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.085115, "active": false }, { "regime": 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1.10823, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.675047, "energy": 29.764396, "activity_lines": [ 14.645358, 14.450458, 13.716993, 13.685909 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 14.52, "volume": 53554895, "typical_volume": 27438943.1, "trend": 13.737197, "fair_value": 13.126984, "relative_strength": -3.268489, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.494142, "energy": 30.820262, "activity_lines": [ 14.656667, 14.497676, 13.824488, 13.738735 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.96, "volume": 42116694, "typical_volume": 28786503.95, "trend": 13.715197, "fair_value": 13.091665, "relative_strength": -11.881158, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.957171, "energy": 10.781843, "activity_lines": [ 13.787333, 14.066184, 13.68727, 13.624077 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.12, "volume": 42041585, "typical_volume": 29454109.15, "trend": 13.604197, "fair_value": 13.050483, "relative_strength": -25.072667, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.606605, "energy": 40.839006, "activity_lines": [ 12.46, 13.331081, 13.385337, 13.392129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.62, "volume": 26237956, "typical_volume": 29774689.95, "trend": 13.489531, "fair_value": 13.013206, "relative_strength": -19.545553, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.217174, "energy": 65.684597, "activity_lines": [ 11.621333, 12.759983, 13.145404, 13.1996 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.94, "volume": 34238590, "typical_volume": 30378230.65, "trend": 13.403864, "fair_value": 12.988983, "relative_strength": -13.454716, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.152488, "energy": 63.570492, "activity_lines": [ 11.398667, 12.481098, 13.041756, 13.09963 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }