{ "ticker": { "uuid": "45aacb3e-f5df-4c06-916a-83d8626bf245", "symbol": "PAACU", "name": "BNP PARIBAS Easy ICAV - BNP Paribas Easy MSCI ACWI Min TE UCITS ETF USD CAPITALISATION", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 65.547, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.068, "architecture_energy": 84.77, "architecture_maturity": 52.855, "architecture_confidence": 80.903, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.65, "rotation_up": 56.16, "upward_expansion": 84.83, "deceleration": 58.67, "rotation_down": 28.0, "downward_expansion": 32.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.95864, 13.989878, 13.783856, 13.511517 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.8708, "trend_reference": 13.233163, "distance_from_trend": 0.048185, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.894846, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.166119, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.665972, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.072131, "excess_performance": 0.018819, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048185, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037516, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.166119, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020431, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00666, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105208, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.072131, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.528409, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.528409, "dry_up": 1.187264, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.004342, "annualized_volatility": 0.174619, "from_high_reference": -0.015585, "from_low_reference": 0.186096 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.233163, "fair_value_reference": 11.894846, "structural_low": 12.0957, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.006421, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.00636, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.031281, "worst_return": -0.049004, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.00049, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.01898, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.00049, "worst_return": -0.00049, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.114374, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.079392, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.114374, "worst_return": 0.114374, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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71.123734, "activity_lines": [ 14.047527, 13.961471, 13.510169, 13.291855 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.0904, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 402.15, "trend": 13.10623, "fair_value": 11.839463, "relative_strength": 7.331454, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.177479, "energy": 69.915745, "activity_lines": [ 14.07586, 13.995398, 13.597602, 13.358855 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.0904, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 402.15, "trend": 13.16055, "fair_value": 11.859561, "relative_strength": 6.654432, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.657148, "energy": 68.580883, "activity_lines": [ 14.09012, 14.024085, 13.679547, 13.42235 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.8708, "volume": 1760, "typical_volume": 411.05, "trend": 13.19895, "fair_value": 11.877359, "relative_strength": 3.196503, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.745265, "energy": 64.471345, "activity_lines": [ 14.017107, 14.007605, 13.735087, 13.468172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.8708, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 370.6, "trend": 13.233163, "fair_value": 11.894846, "relative_strength": 0.665972, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.067631, "energy": 84.770105, "activity_lines": [ 13.95864, 13.989878, 13.783856, 13.511517 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }