{ "ticker": { "uuid": "45ae2535-5faa-4a44-8e2e-70c13ea25772", "symbol": "ENLV", "name": "Enlivex Therapeutics Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -84.06, "architecture_energy": 94.082, "architecture_maturity": 48.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.299, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 8.31, "upward_expansion": 21.98, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 87.62, "downward_expansion": 99.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.172, 5.084173, 7.659971, 9.550837 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.08, "trend_reference": 11.816317, "distance_from_trend": -0.823972, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.925446, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.900599, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -86.685619, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.88046, "excess_performance": -1.067913, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.823972, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169094, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.900599, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.390847, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.866856, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.474461, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.88046, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.17853, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1424138, "relative_activity": 0.537956, "balance": 0.17853, "dry_up": 0.716687, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.847866, "annualized_volatility": 1.115818, "from_high_reference": -0.933968, "from_low_reference": 0.155491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.816317, "fair_value_reference": 20.925446, "structural_low": 1.8001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": -0.001942, "positive_rate": 0.452381, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.034229, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.735911, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.050119, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.027704, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.035461, "worst_return": -0.819913, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.22608, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.207791, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.540426, "worst_return": -0.447059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.087719, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.07563, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.009091, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.132812, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": 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21.427484, "relative_strength": -73.278548, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.520551, "energy": 94.124813, "activity_lines": [ 5.6452, 7.2646, 9.3063, 10.875575 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.09, "volume": 5093102, "typical_volume": 2618554.3, "trend": 12.197833, "fair_value": 21.16692, "relative_strength": -86.360208, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.59069, "energy": 96.398529, "activity_lines": [ 4.194933, 6.096455, 8.451445, 10.2036 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.08, "volume": 1424138, "typical_volume": 2647313.6, "trend": 11.816317, "fair_value": 20.925446, "relative_strength": -86.685619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.060148, "energy": 94.082094, "activity_lines": [ 3.172, 5.084173, 7.659971, 9.550837 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }