{ "ticker": { "uuid": "45b16fb5-6528-48ed-9ad9-d4cca94bc722", "symbol": "DLCG", "name": "Dominion Lending Centres Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 48.593, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -25.971, "architecture_energy": 11.605, "architecture_maturity": 33.379, "architecture_confidence": 57.297, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.78, "rotation_up": 24.12, "upward_expansion": 18.47, "deceleration": 37.93, "rotation_down": 33.28, "downward_expansion": 57.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.868, 8.826182, 8.911371, 8.954776 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.12, "trend_reference": 9.010553, "distance_from_trend": 0.012147, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.374278, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.43075, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.211122, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.010206, "excess_performance": -0.110215, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.012147, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034954, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.43075, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.231755, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.132111, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050252, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.010206, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.540747, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 417000, "relative_activity": 4.287697, "balance": 1.540747, "dry_up": 1.655442, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06794, "annualized_volatility": 0.375277, "from_high_reference": -0.178491, "from_low_reference": 0.169231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.010553, "fair_value_reference": 6.374278, "structural_low": 7.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.007986, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.019755, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.056213, "worst_return": -0.140546, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.179281, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.158635, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.06133, "worst_return": -0.219824, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.172312, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.19536, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.010638, "worst_return": -0.310859, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.009719, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.22912, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.060663, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.021966, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.024946, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-06", 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"direction": -53.930103, "energy": 28.669217, "activity_lines": [ 8.766667, 8.770273, 8.956522, 8.995994 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.66, "volume": 35800, "typical_volume": 80175.0, "trend": 9.064848, "fair_value": 6.286386, "relative_strength": -15.998521, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.455167, "energy": 27.609916, "activity_lines": [ 8.735333, 8.757273, 8.923837, 8.967285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.78, "volume": 153000, "typical_volume": 79090.0, "trend": 9.029048, "fair_value": 6.328738, "relative_strength": -14.104935, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.081947, "energy": 23.076609, "activity_lines": [ 8.746, 8.762273, 8.903152, 8.948908 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.12, "volume": 417000, "typical_volume": 97255.0, "trend": 9.010553, "fair_value": 6.374278, "relative_strength": -13.211122, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.970811, "energy": 11.60519, "activity_lines": [ 8.868, 8.826182, 8.911371, 8.954776 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }