{ "ticker": { "uuid": "45b39575-922e-4491-97ed-bb1c35dc185f", "symbol": "301518", "name": "Changhua Chemical Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.534, "architecture_energy": 75.301, "architecture_maturity": 44.171, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.19, "rotation_up": 23.71, "upward_expansion": 16.27, "deceleration": 42.67, "rotation_down": 61.71, "downward_expansion": 89.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.644667, 24.716474, 28.412665, 31.787706 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.27, "trend_reference": 35.620412, "distance_from_trend": -0.290575, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.550233, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.029318, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.702835, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.375433, "excess_performance": -0.382832, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.290575, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086609, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.029318, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.535347, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.287028, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.240481, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.375433, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.23753, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9465924, "relative_activity": 1.139517, "balance": 0.23753, "dry_up": 1.1511, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103133, "annualized_volatility": 0.479354, "from_high_reference": -0.521039, "from_low_reference": 0.206205 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.620412, "fair_value_reference": 24.550233, "structural_low": 20.950001, 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"relative_strength": -33.833951, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.090409, "energy": 94.17204, "activity_lines": [ 24.962063, 27.079511, 31.420413, 34.28714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.6, "volume": 11453716, "typical_volume": 9572659.95, "trend": 36.336745, "fair_value": 24.552851, "relative_strength": -36.94552, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.005424, "energy": 93.405121, "activity_lines": [ 23.538487, 25.718378, 30.127735, 33.310318 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.43, "volume": 8226152, "typical_volume": 8565704.25, "trend": 35.963745, "fair_value": 24.545559, "relative_strength": -30.454673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.322433, "energy": 87.615835, "activity_lines": [ 23.160009, 24.94688, 29.129914, 32.477625 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.27, "volume": 9465924, "typical_volume": 8306964.65, "trend": 35.620412, "fair_value": 24.550233, "relative_strength": -28.702835, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.534296, "energy": 75.300677, "activity_lines": [ 23.644667, 24.716474, 28.412665, 31.787706 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }