{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "45c8f57a-f7dc-4039-94d8-01984e8d0332",
    "symbol": "UAPR",
    "name": "Innovator U.S. Equity Ultra Buffer ETF - April",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 56.075,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.185,
    "architecture_energy": 71.961,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.575,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.54,
        "rotation_up": 68.81,
        "upward_expansion": 90.0,
        "deceleration": 51.4,
        "rotation_down": 25.28,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        34.680283
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 35.66,
    "trend_reference": 34.167917,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.043669,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.501005,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.169142,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.733121,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.081261,
    "excess_performance": -0.044364,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043669,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025764,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169142,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000933,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047331,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002118,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081261,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.350411,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 44461,
      "relative_activity": 0.61175,
      "balance": 1.350411,
      "dry_up": 0.448586,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.008297,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.038052,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.127411
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 30.501005,
      "structural_low": 32.8,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.007334,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
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        "worst_return": -0.053364,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 75913.9,
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        "fair_value": 30.324562,
        "relative_strength": -2.645411,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 65.320452,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.17,
        "volume": 36114,
        "typical_volume": 74159.9,
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        "fair_value": 30.381036,
        "relative_strength": -1.984774,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 66.542856,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.35,
        "volume": 31192,
        "typical_volume": 72783.05,
        "trend": 34.075583,
        "fair_value": 30.43999,
        "relative_strength": -2.403242,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.879202,
        "energy": 71.527363,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.24296,
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          34.578062
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.66,
        "volume": 44461,
        "typical_volume": 72678.4,
        "trend": 34.167917,
        "fair_value": 30.501005,
        "relative_strength": -4.733121,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.185445,
        "energy": 71.961075,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}