{ "ticker": { "uuid": "45d166ba-124b-4072-85af-748445538b16", "symbol": "BETR", "name": "Better Home & Finance Holding Company", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -82.8, "architecture_energy": 78.206, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.834, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.66, "rotation_up": 11.84, "upward_expansion": 16.74, "deceleration": 37.26, "rotation_down": 75.91, "downward_expansion": 92.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.618, 23.060545, 26.248762, 28.088688 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 15.46, "trend_reference": 29.819667, "distance_from_trend": -0.48155, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.876151, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.378521, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -62.533226, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.42054, "excess_performance": -0.607993, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.48155, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.176745, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.378521, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.588375, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.625332, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.404222, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.42054, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.373119, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7276584, "relative_activity": 3.048132, "balance": 0.373119, "dry_up": 1.104256, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.360443, "annualized_volatility": 1.153698, "from_high_reference": -0.835637, "from_low_reference": 0.188317 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.819667, "fair_value_reference": 24.876151, "structural_low": 14.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.040651, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.022127, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.509703, "worst_return": -0.398444, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.031394, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.069497, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.172624, "worst_return": -0.109837, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.972973, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.847627, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.972973, "worst_return": 0.972973, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -43.984584, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.289038, "energy": 53.497992, "activity_lines": [ 24.18, 25.412727, 28.281762, 29.552 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.5, "volume": 1291098, "typical_volume": 2149827.6, "trend": 30.633333, "fair_value": 24.937295, "relative_strength": -40.17544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.863158, "energy": 56.882534, "activity_lines": [ 23.666667, 24.948364, 27.622048, 29.067613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.46, "volume": 7276584, "typical_volume": 2387227.35, "trend": 29.819667, "fair_value": 24.876151, "relative_strength": -62.533226, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.800431, "energy": 78.205638, "activity_lines": [ 20.618, 23.060545, 26.248762, 28.088688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }