{ "ticker": { "uuid": "45d2a43f-b739-4769-bb6b-b2eb0b05be27", "symbol": "PETR3", "name": "Petr\u00f3leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 75.162, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 3.448, "architecture_energy": 19.442, "architecture_maturity": 32.524, "architecture_confidence": 43.582, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.01, "rotation_up": 52.87, "upward_expansion": 32.77, "deceleration": 47.1, "rotation_down": 19.73, "downward_expansion": 23.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.871333, 45.700545, 46.555154, 46.846704 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 45.689999, "trend_reference": 45.802175, "distance_from_trend": -0.002449, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.297401, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.332171, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.806707, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.189969, "excess_performance": 0.247018, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002449, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105118, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.332171, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.196221, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.118067, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051581, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.189969, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.136871, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60012600, "relative_activity": 1.245389, "balance": 1.136871, "dry_up": 0.992046, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053589, "annualized_volatility": 0.33459, "from_high_reference": -0.16371, "from_low_reference": 0.538604 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.802175, "fair_value_reference": 34.297401, "structural_low": 38.336683, "invalidation": "A 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"blue", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.112794, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.046484, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.116897, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.015074, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.063239, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.016498, "active": false }, { 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"2026-07-24", "close": 47.549999, "volume": 42269900, "typical_volume": 51952905.0, "trend": 44.758409, "fair_value": 33.982752, "relative_strength": 15.933945, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.658515, "energy": 15.508973, "activity_lines": [ 45.372666, 44.938428, 46.707157, 46.547217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.04, "volume": 38934800, "typical_volume": 49387470.0, "trend": 45.32954, "fair_value": 34.152114, "relative_strength": 16.668342, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.519507, "energy": 29.420688, "activity_lines": [ 46.906666, 45.620692, 46.791304, 46.823449 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.689999, "volume": 60012600, "typical_volume": 48187845.0, "trend": 45.802175, "fair_value": 34.297401, "relative_strength": 11.806707, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.447676, "energy": 19.441978, "activity_lines": [ 46.871333, 45.700545, 46.555154, 46.846704 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }