{ "ticker": { "uuid": "45d7f5b3-5c8a-4e9e-87bc-6fb08a50df3c", "symbol": "603755", "name": "Qingdao Richen Food Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.149, "architecture_energy": 62.056, "architecture_maturity": 56.579, "architecture_confidence": 87.662, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.76, "rotation_up": 17.46, "upward_expansion": 10.65, "deceleration": 54.56, "rotation_down": 68.67, "downward_expansion": 86.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.889334, 22.658, 24.362667, 25.913075 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 22.690001, "trend_reference": 28.555754, "distance_from_trend": -0.205414, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.785224, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.152891, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.18514, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.348924, "excess_performance": -0.30572, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.205414, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129114, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.152891, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.22998, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.241851, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128234, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.348924, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.299379, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5109350, "relative_activity": 1.000808, "balance": 0.299379, "dry_up": 0.993435, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090823, "annualized_volatility": 0.438467, "from_high_reference": -0.444902, "from_low_reference": 0.138485 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.555754, "fair_value_reference": 26.785224, "structural_low": 19.93, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.010625, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": 0.014515, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.232458, "worst_return": -0.357007, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.066599, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.061521, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.290292, "worst_return": -0.220857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.058428, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.095736, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.372721, "worst_return": -0.104283, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-03", "close": 24.41, "volume": 1724700, "typical_volume": 6622925.1, "trend": 30.728886, "fair_value": 27.044819, "relative_strength": -22.171589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.736278, "energy": 64.548723, "activity_lines": [ 24.52, 25.380909, 26.722191, 28.463735 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 23.17, "volume": 5000298, "typical_volume": 5720602.5, "trend": 30.358513, "fair_value": 27.005226, "relative_strength": -24.959798, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.762837, "energy": 70.010037, "activity_lines": [ 23.965333, 24.809091, 26.265238, 27.976065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.389999, "volume": 4485200, "typical_volume": 5569292.5, "trend": 29.94429, "fair_value": 26.953995, "relative_strength": -22.747159, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.752066, "energy": 73.486004, "activity_lines": [ 23.269333, 24.203091, 25.781524, 27.461967 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.1, "volume": 5707045, "typical_volume": 5256328.95, "trend": 29.501994, "fair_value": 26.8928, "relative_strength": -31.203495, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.424281, "energy": 73.105031, "activity_lines": [ 22.098666, 23.309636, 25.130286, 26.826852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.66, "volume": 4985240, "typical_volume": 5130175.95, "trend": 29.011542, "fair_value": 26.839744, "relative_strength": -25.89845, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.744604, "energy": 69.451216, "activity_lines": [ 21.774666, 22.837091, 24.677952, 26.320917 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.690001, "volume": 5109350, "typical_volume": 5105223.45, "trend": 28.555754, "fair_value": 26.785224, "relative_strength": -24.18514, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.148771, "energy": 62.055601, "activity_lines": [ 21.889334, 22.658, 24.362667, 25.913075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }