{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "45e59cc2-2a9f-4f39-a4b2-e76a15daa18f",
    "symbol": "ACCON",
    "name": "Acconeer AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 21.356,
    "architecture_energy": 13.514,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.014,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.34,
        "rotation_up": 23.89,
        "upward_expansion": 47.39,
        "deceleration": 84.29,
        "rotation_down": 28.66,
        "downward_expansion": 25.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.378666,
        16.698,
        16.721143,
        15.524602
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 17.0,
    "trend_reference": 14.052667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.209735,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.253084,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.658038,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 33.559503,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.421405,
    "excess_performance": 0.35991,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.209735,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168103,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.658038,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.203604,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.335595,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.427266,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.421405,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.112104,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 646352,
      "relative_activity": 0.425264,
      "balance": 4.112104,
      "dry_up": 0.59264,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.186742,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.896132,
      "from_high_reference": -0.36803,
      "from_low_reference": 2.695652
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 14.052667,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.253084,
      "structural_low": 8.31,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.039548,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035391,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.545064,
        "worst_return": -0.169014,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.129032,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.101789,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.376254,
        "worst_return": -0.317143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.096186,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.106747,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 1.0,
        "worst_return": -0.244017,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.058065,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026405,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.906404,
        "worst_return": -0.202109,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.153846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.059829,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.007645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.087179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.152709,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018109,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.009823,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035152,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.026515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
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        "return": 0.168896,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-03",
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        "return": -0.014581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.039548,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1458658.55,
        "trend": 13.548,
        "fair_value": 10.509045,
        "relative_strength": 54.236066,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.9,
        "volume": 1688474,
        "typical_volume": 1516118.8,
        "trend": 13.651333,
        "fair_value": 10.439494,
        "relative_strength": 29.190743,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.884826,
        "energy": 21.828271,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.333333,
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          15.009419
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.1,
        "volume": 613858,
        "typical_volume": 1513994.8,
        "trend": 13.791333,
        "fair_value": 10.375712,
        "relative_strength": 35.065964,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.029491,
        "energy": 19.872747,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.164,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.219999,
        "volume": 654292,
        "typical_volume": 1530426.3,
        "trend": 13.892,
        "fair_value": 10.320712,
        "relative_strength": 32.081129,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.455012,
        "energy": 16.707888,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.121333,
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          16.55,
          15.324086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.0,
        "volume": 646352,
        "typical_volume": 1519884.7,
        "trend": 14.052667,
        "fair_value": 10.253084,
        "relative_strength": 33.559503,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.356434,
        "energy": 13.513797,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}