{ "ticker": { "uuid": "45e626da-6afb-45af-b73b-3d765382031d", "symbol": "R1OP34", "name": "Roper Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 66.706, "architecture_energy": 81.569, "architecture_maturity": 20.623, "architecture_confidence": 61.162, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.65, "rotation_up": 77.71, "upward_expansion": 65.47, "deceleration": 23.92, "rotation_down": 16.17, "downward_expansion": 26.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 188.570662, 184.739322, 179.210062, 178.227786 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 200.229996, "trend_reference": 180.747453, "distance_from_trend": 0.107789, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 266.04271, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.247376, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.855042, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.023349, "excess_performance": 0.080398, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107789, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099236, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.247376, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125942, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.12855, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.326281, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023349, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.844444, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16, "relative_activity": 0.56338, "balance": 3.844444, "dry_up": 2.860915, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026289, "annualized_volatility": 0.346792, "from_high_reference": -0.396116, "from_low_reference": 0.220171 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 180.747453, "fair_value_reference": 266.04271, "structural_low": 164.100006, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.025577, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.036184, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.076557, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.007948, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.028604, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.099416, "worst_return": -0.145828, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.082701, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.018948, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.147942, "worst_return": 0.017461, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 8.774473, "energy": 38.439166, "activity_lines": [ 182.259567, 177.734208, 175.358467, 177.329387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 182.839996, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 27.6, "trend": 183.998736, "fair_value": 266.494432, "relative_strength": -24.140648, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 9.199549, "energy": 39.952435, "activity_lines": [ 183.172226, 179.338458, 176.131085, 177.131786 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 182.839996, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 27.6, "trend": 182.083261, "fair_value": 266.212834, "relative_strength": -24.274513, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.241273, "energy": 55.792114, "activity_lines": [ 183.343756, 180.601981, 176.862887, 177.057029 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 200.229996, "volume": 16, "typical_volume": 28.4, "trend": 180.747453, "fair_value": 266.04271, "relative_strength": -12.855042, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 66.705631, "energy": 81.568815, "activity_lines": [ 188.570662, 184.739322, 179.210062, 178.227786 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }