{ "ticker": { "uuid": "46012030-8a77-4e6d-88ff-dd1be724016b", "symbol": "6805", "name": "Fositek Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.173, "architecture_energy": 18.716, "architecture_maturity": 54.4, "architecture_confidence": 71.179, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.13, "rotation_up": 36.58, "upward_expansion": 22.41, "deceleration": 40.67, "rotation_down": 27.11, "downward_expansion": 58.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 1670.10188, 1586.878815, 1660.937848, 1709.388304 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1765.0, "trend_reference": 1723.578711, "distance_from_trend": 0.024032, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 950.97214, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.855995, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.899086, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.142395, "excess_performance": -0.203337, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.024032, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017161, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.855995, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.304709, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148991, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082035, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142395, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.43666, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8513378, "relative_activity": 1.082277, "balance": 1.43666, "dry_up": 1.153296, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138253, "annualized_volatility": 0.559262, "from_high_reference": -0.224176, "from_low_reference": 0.846234 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1723.578711, "fair_value_reference": 950.97214, "structural_low": 1196.631984, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.101056, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.080675, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.382912, "worst_return": 0.010959, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.427215, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.308406, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.920844, "worst_return": -0.325792, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.525634, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.473464, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.760167, "worst_return": 0.291101, "sufficient": false }, { 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"Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.326841, "energy": 44.61143, "activity_lines": [ 1465.763924, 1518.835252, 1654.40428, 1699.438406 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 1792.465332, "volume": 10699440, "typical_volume": 7682831.85, "trend": 1708.745378, "fair_value": 940.854603, "relative_strength": -14.843538, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.802888, "energy": 20.468751, "activity_lines": [ 1583.592635, 1553.921748, 1658.710997, 1705.758974 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 1765.0, "volume": 8513378, "typical_volume": 7866171.4, "trend": 1723.578711, "fair_value": 950.97214, "relative_strength": -14.899086, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.173162, "energy": 18.716461, "activity_lines": [ 1670.10188, 1586.878815, 1660.937848, 1709.388304 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }