{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "460ab606-5ebb-44a2-9300-42a16c55db89",
    "symbol": "PRV",
    "name": "Porvair plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.268,
    "architecture_energy": 56.614,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.859,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.885,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.24,
        "rotation_up": 59.23,
        "upward_expansion": 81.55,
        "deceleration": 51.27,
        "rotation_down": 15.62,
        "downward_expansion": 10.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        857.445993,
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        817.911216,
        803.661723
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 900.0,
    "trend_reference": 801.256498,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.123236,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 703.323596,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279639,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.508867,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.05889,
    "excess_performance": -0.007389,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123236,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015501,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279639,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.204456,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055089,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158526,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05889,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.130037,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 392592,
      "relative_activity": 1.227227,
      "balance": 2.130037,
      "dry_up": 1.669288,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067819,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.285766,
      "from_high_reference": -0.021678,
      "from_low_reference": 0.339369
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 801.256498,
      "fair_value_reference": 703.323596,
      "structural_low": 678.77771,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.038961,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015611,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.045,
        "worst_return": -0.016897,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.00974,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018631,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.122715,
        "worst_return": -0.038402,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.019911,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018426,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.071498,
        "worst_return": -0.026049,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.049341,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007385,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.047533,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.056886,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "return": -0.124654,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": 0.106061,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.005389,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.035135,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 308816.2,
        "trend": 799.121427,
        "fair_value": 701.591829,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.820105,
        "energy": 24.570707,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 900.0,
        "volume": 392592,
        "typical_volume": 319901.75,
        "trend": 801.256498,
        "fair_value": 703.323596,
        "relative_strength": 5.508867,
        "stage": 2,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}