{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "463812d7-b1b3-4695-8abf-31d3b2a31f64",
    "symbol": "PTR",
    "name": "PTR Minerals Ltd",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.221,
    "architecture_energy": 56.337,
    "architecture_maturity": 94.432,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.381,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.08,
        "rotation_up": 25.93,
        "upward_expansion": 8.99,
        "deceleration": 58.21,
        "rotation_down": 57.91,
        "downward_expansion": 84.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.085,
        0.088109,
        0.095567,
        0.109471
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.092,
    "trend_reference": 0.140633,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.345817,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.156981,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.413941,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -57.425816,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.632,
    "excess_performance": -0.695706,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.345817,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.302126,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.413941,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.155355,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.574258,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011901,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.632,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.775646,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1304007,
      "relative_activity": 0.554836,
      "balance": 0.775646,
      "dry_up": 0.612068,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.161371,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.029494,
      "from_high_reference": -0.751351,
      "from_low_reference": 0.179487
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.140633,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.156981,
      "structural_low": 0.078,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": -0.054924,
        "positive_rate": 0.361111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050329,
        "regime_survival": 0.888889,
        "best_return": 1.05,
        "worst_return": -0.378378,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.207547,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": -0.223704,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 1.5625,
        "worst_return": -0.47619,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.304942,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.347771,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.157895,
        "worst_return": -0.660714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.267857,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.370749,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.142857,
        "worst_return": -0.295597,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.642857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 5.122449,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.178571,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.138889,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 3045005.4,
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        "relative_strength": -62.85009,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -72.702388,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.081,
        "volume": 1734170,
        "typical_volume": 2973486.55,
        "trend": 0.1469,
        "fair_value": 0.156808,
        "relative_strength": -62.263656,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.854851,
        "energy": 63.41985,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.082667,
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          0.096386,
          0.113013
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.092,
        "volume": 1304007,
        "typical_volume": 2350254.9,
        "trend": 0.140633,
        "fair_value": 0.156981,
        "relative_strength": -57.425816,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.22098,
        "energy": 56.33745,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.085,
          0.088109,
          0.095567,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}