{ "ticker": { "uuid": "463a83ef-166e-4701-8f05-fe9b553f1e5f", "symbol": "HST", "name": "Host Hotels & Resorts Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.448, "architecture_energy": 40.675, "architecture_maturity": 76.863, "architecture_confidence": 67.434, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.13, "rotation_up": 44.41, "upward_expansion": 71.56, "deceleration": 64.85, "rotation_down": 25.45, "downward_expansion": 12.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.102, 24.110211, 23.482311, 22.554396 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.29, "trend_reference": 21.357132, "distance_from_trend": 0.090502, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.943025, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.374607, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.703155, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.216181, "excess_performance": 0.028728, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090502, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116946, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.374607, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010527, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.057032, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011674, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.216181, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.020554, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 60491717, "relative_activity": 1.375836, "balance": 2.020554, "dry_up": 1.110692, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055561, "annualized_volatility": 0.257889, "from_high_reference": -0.094127, "from_low_reference": 0.597872 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.357132, "fair_value_reference": 16.943025, "structural_low": 18.209917, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.008105, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.024638, "regime_survival": 0.730769, "best_return": 0.164172, "worst_return": -0.150715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.035164, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.075012, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.282834, "worst_return": -0.183783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.045392, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.053266, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.24294, "worst_return": -0.155086, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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53.042041, "energy": 46.41026, "activity_lines": [ 23.798104, 23.865324, 22.824053, 21.906012 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.5, "volume": 40080708, "typical_volume": 42857987.8, "trend": 20.950529, "fair_value": 16.813861, "relative_strength": 18.700367, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.918487, "energy": 44.311411, "activity_lines": [ 23.956692, 24.039891, 23.090057, 22.149212 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.13, "volume": 49000577, "typical_volume": 43125110.55, "trend": 21.189115, "fair_value": 16.883514, "relative_strength": 20.355901, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.260747, "energy": 54.399785, "activity_lines": [ 24.345333, 24.269026, 23.39002, 22.418855 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.29, "volume": 60491717, "typical_volume": 43967256.45, "trend": 21.357132, "fair_value": 16.943025, "relative_strength": 5.703155, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.448111, "energy": 40.674976, "activity_lines": [ 24.102, 24.110211, 23.482311, 22.554396 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }