{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "463bbd94-1ae7-4c89-bf89-dc1bef96a3a2",
    "symbol": "ALRIB",
    "name": "Riber S.A.",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": -4.93,
    "architecture_energy": 42.604,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.34,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.586,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.6,
        "rotation_up": 14.24,
        "upward_expansion": 51.95,
        "deceleration": 65.83,
        "rotation_down": 50.38,
        "downward_expansion": 48.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.568,
        10.31151,
        11.454105,
        10.720314
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 9.65,
    "trend_reference": 9.375813,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.029244,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.893501,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.478489,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 33.58806,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.918489,
    "excess_performance": 0.865178,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029244,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.385789,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.478489,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.769453,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.335881,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.474415,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.918489,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.223752,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 337614,
      "relative_activity": 0.271117,
      "balance": 1.223752,
      "dry_up": 0.351984,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.178811,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.999367,
      "from_high_reference": -0.478378,
      "from_low_reference": 2.385965
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.375813,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.893501,
      "structural_low": 4.88,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.010831,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.466667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000952,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.177966,
        "worst_return": -0.246006,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.06383,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034824,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.394975,
        "worst_return": -0.113419,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.087446,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.12357,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.855769,
        "worst_return": -0.029695,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.311114,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.230668,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 2.950206,
        "worst_return": -0.131745,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014441,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025735,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.0331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.135593,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.172932,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.253834,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.188455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.183919,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091703,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006079,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.1456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 1.938882,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.144504,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 8.562979,
        "fair_value": 3.698209,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 385961,
        "typical_volume": 1236100.25,
        "trend": 8.777646,
        "fair_value": 3.747265,
        "relative_strength": 47.318703,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -1.676647,
        "energy": 19.491777,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.594667,
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          11.874358,
          10.619192
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.91,
        "volume": 402174,
        "typical_volume": 1230499.05,
        "trend": 9.002646,
        "fair_value": 3.798342,
        "relative_strength": 47.408831,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -0.940478,
        "energy": 21.876515,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.202,
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          10.692247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.97,
        "volume": 627513,
        "typical_volume": 1244457.45,
        "trend": 9.182313,
        "fair_value": 3.843788,
        "relative_strength": 29.27503,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -13.504741,
        "energy": 39.767787,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.694,
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          11.598031,
          10.69014
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.65,
        "volume": 337614,
        "typical_volume": 1245271.7,
        "trend": 9.375813,
        "fair_value": 3.893501,
        "relative_strength": 33.58806,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -4.929677,
        "energy": 42.604242,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}