{ "ticker": { "uuid": "46403452-a5e5-4fb4-8302-800407ebb532", "symbol": "D5IU", "name": "Landmark REIT", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -4.006, "architecture_energy": 5.258, "architecture_maturity": 40.759, "architecture_confidence": 56.424, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.37, "rotation_up": 24.25, "upward_expansion": 24.17, "deceleration": 45.94, "rotation_down": 29.35, "downward_expansion": 50.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.007133, 0.006945, 0.007071, 0.007054 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.008, "trend_reference": 0.007167, "distance_from_trend": 0.116279, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.014275, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.439594, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.458059, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.142857, "excess_performance": -0.011978, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.116279, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169743, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.439594, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030685, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.334581, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052948, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142857, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.713319, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17778600, "relative_activity": 0.725917, "balance": 2.713319, "dry_up": 0.71896, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153846, "annualized_volatility": 0.843085, "from_high_reference": -0.555556, "from_low_reference": 0.333333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.007167, "fair_value_reference": 0.014275, "structural_low": 0.006, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.027895, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.214286, "worst_return": -0.269806, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.116663, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.126058, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.071429, "worst_return": -0.4, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.257519, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.292234, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.121447, "worst_return": -0.393366, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.340931, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.413903, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.643367, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-08-04", "end": "2023-10-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.052632, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-11-03", "end": "2023-12-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.052632, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2024-01-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-01-19", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.416667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.052632, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.055556, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.222222, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", 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[ 0.007, 0.007291, 0.007157, 0.007219 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.006, "volume": 14969700, "typical_volume": 37129890.0, "trend": 0.007367, "fair_value": 0.01457, "relative_strength": -52.1482, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.027772, "energy": 39.395642, "activity_lines": [ 0.0066, 0.007036, 0.007057, 0.00712 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.006, "volume": 2506500, "typical_volume": 24552760.0, "trend": 0.007267, "fair_value": 0.014493, "relative_strength": -51.581932, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.97302, "energy": 52.32444, "activity_lines": [ 0.006333, 0.0068, 0.006962, 0.007032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.007, "volume": 2062200, "typical_volume": 22287995.0, "trend": 0.007233, "fair_value": 0.014423, "relative_strength": -43.324782, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.180694, "energy": 40.57946, "activity_lines": [ 0.006533, 0.006782, 0.006967, 0.007015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.007, "volume": 48085500, "typical_volume": 24062205.0, "trend": 0.007167, "fair_value": 0.014346, "relative_strength": -42.298818, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.622893, "energy": 27.497283, "activity_lines": [ 0.006667, 0.006764, 0.006971, 0.007 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.008, "volume": 17778600, "typical_volume": 24491215.0, "trend": 0.007167, "fair_value": 0.014275, "relative_strength": -33.458059, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.00612, "energy": 5.257681, "activity_lines": [ 0.007133, 0.006945, 0.007071, 0.007054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }