{ "ticker": { "uuid": "464c88bb-069c-4fa8-83bc-6725a1726050", "symbol": "301077", "name": "Zhejiang Chinastars New Materials Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.327, "architecture_energy": 86.257, "architecture_maturity": 33.561, "architecture_confidence": 92.992, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.84, "rotation_up": 11.18, "upward_expansion": 21.89, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 74.01, "downward_expansion": 95.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.682001, 20.847273, 23.758639, 25.278697 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.6, "trend_reference": 27.26733, "distance_from_trend": -0.244517, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.625624, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.106003, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.018929, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.328852, "excess_performance": -0.336252, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.244517, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051872, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.106003, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.692238, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.250189, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.269968, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.328852, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.193251, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9833948, "relative_activity": 0.641642, "balance": 0.193251, "dry_up": 0.587239, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107885, "annualized_volatility": 0.656564, "from_high_reference": -0.473276, "from_low_reference": 0.153415 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.26733, "fair_value_reference": 18.625624, "structural_low": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 22.200001, "volume": 10309956, "typical_volume": 15950232.95, "trend": 28.296587, "fair_value": 18.47506, "relative_strength": -24.693706, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.245211, "energy": 72.539543, "activity_lines": [ 22.925334, 24.397291, 26.586141, 27.4649 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.83, "volume": 8611946, "typical_volume": 15775333.8, "trend": 28.032486, "fair_value": 18.516148, "relative_strength": -25.873692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.526995, "energy": 75.024779, "activity_lines": [ 21.852, 23.268546, 25.845902, 26.918669 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.190001, "volume": 9537679, "typical_volume": 15563957.4, "trend": 27.692266, "fair_value": 18.547164, "relative_strength": -31.868723, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.748814, "energy": 89.631226, "activity_lines": [ 20.468, 22.062182, 25.001488, 26.28367 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.950001, "volume": 8017053, "typical_volume": 15282665.15, "trend": 27.434806, "fair_value": 18.582009, "relative_strength": -27.646033, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.823297, "energy": 90.113009, "activity_lines": [ 19.677334, 21.209819, 24.278859, 25.719653 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.6, "volume": 9833948, "typical_volume": 15326230.25, "trend": 27.26733, "fair_value": 18.625624, "relative_strength": -25.018929, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.327348, "energy": 86.256869, "activity_lines": [ 19.682001, 20.847273, 23.758639, 25.278697 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }