{ "ticker": { "uuid": "465877be-866e-41d7-8ed8-d0d18a33ddb0", "symbol": "NOCO", "name": "Northrop Grumman Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 94.97, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.8, "architecture_energy": 31.418, "architecture_maturity": 77.289, "architecture_confidence": 72.063, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.17, "rotation_up": 27.79, "upward_expansion": 22.29, "deceleration": 46.94, "rotation_down": 28.66, "downward_expansion": 58.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 475.593333, 471.085456, 476.099718, 500.118563 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 488.100006, "trend_reference": 529.742162, "distance_from_trend": -0.078608, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 454.356828, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.074266, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.988261, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.176518, "excess_performance": -0.350765, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.078608, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010114, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.074266, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037477, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.229883, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00949, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.176518, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.904192, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 133, "relative_activity": 1.941606, "balance": 1.904192, "dry_up": 2.945255, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044527, "annualized_volatility": 0.314838, "from_high_reference": -0.267273, "from_low_reference": 0.135909 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 529.742162, "fair_value_reference": 454.356828, 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452.466217, "relative_strength": -24.66802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.159411, "energy": 56.809809, "activity_lines": [ 464.966671, 466.337375, 485.330047, 510.726813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 475.299988, "volume": 399, "typical_volume": 60.9, "trend": 531.708119, "fair_value": 453.046979, "relative_strength": -23.779884, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.563119, "energy": 44.725518, "activity_lines": [ 469.306665, 467.720054, 481.31385, 507.061207 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 467.0, "volume": 223, "typical_volume": 66.6, "trend": 531.002875, "fair_value": 453.615777, "relative_strength": -24.56087, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.19876, "energy": 41.612582, "activity_lines": [ 469.733331, 467.427819, 477.285197, 502.88649 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 488.100006, "volume": 133, "typical_volume": 68.5, "trend": 529.742162, "fair_value": 454.356828, "relative_strength": -22.988261, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.800181, "energy": 31.418483, "activity_lines": [ 475.593333, 471.085456, 476.099718, 500.118563 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }