{ "ticker": { "uuid": "46591014-0894-4668-9937-4618dbb80e64", "symbol": "8932", "name": "Wiselink Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.199, "architecture_energy": 20.437, "architecture_maturity": 78.197, "architecture_confidence": 74.038, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.25, "rotation_up": 29.25, "upward_expansion": 57.92, "deceleration": 85.25, "rotation_down": 36.59, "downward_expansion": 21.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.473333, 105.538181, 103.583809, 100.394408 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 108.0, "trend_reference": 97.371666, "distance_from_trend": 0.109152, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.198766, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.92175, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.765857, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.125, "excess_performance": -0.316372, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109152, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078831, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.92175, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100241, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.197659, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009363, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.125, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.101972, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12134464, "relative_activity": 0.649689, "balance": 1.101972, "dry_up": 0.92852, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135328, "annualized_volatility": 0.549305, "from_high_reference": -0.169231, "from_low_reference": 0.407166 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.371666, "fair_value_reference": 56.198766, "structural_low": 79.300003, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": 0.040866, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.028819, "regime_survival": 0.825, "best_return": 0.38, "worst_return": -0.158333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.168127, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.173412, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.657878, "worst_return": -0.207143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.371359, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.340395, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.870602, "worst_return": 0.170821, "sufficient": true }, { 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"gate": "up", "direction": 68.438837, "energy": 58.478904, "activity_lines": [ 113.166667, 109.089091, 102.132619, 98.985161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 111.0, "volume": 19129054, "typical_volume": 18002730.45, "trend": 96.015, "fair_value": 54.619004, "relative_strength": -15.026478, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.426973, "energy": 49.32195, "activity_lines": [ 113.366667, 109.990909, 103.459048, 100.008387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 88.699997, "volume": 26880394, "typical_volume": 18543594.2, "trend": 96.096666, "fair_value": 55.087825, "relative_strength": -30.899171, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.653636, "energy": 18.383319, "activity_lines": [ 105.399999, 106.60909, 102.608095, 99.536451 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 98.0, "volume": 11225261, "typical_volume": 18463232.15, "trend": 96.605, "fair_value": 55.615244, "relative_strength": -25.074999, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.913883, "energy": 15.185259, "activity_lines": [ 102.019999, 105.141818, 102.658571, 99.659247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 108.0, "volume": 12134464, "typical_volume": 18677340.85, "trend": 97.371666, "fair_value": 56.198766, "relative_strength": -19.765857, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.199379, "energy": 20.436963, "activity_lines": [ 102.473333, 105.538181, 103.583809, 100.394408 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }