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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.984, "architecture_energy": 67.948, "architecture_maturity": 88.141, "architecture_confidence": 61.738, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.18, "rotation_up": 53.25, "upward_expansion": 78.5, "deceleration": 71.5, "rotation_down": 29.74, "downward_expansion": 16.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.121334, 75.990875, 74.697233, 73.00431 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 77.410004, "trend_reference": 71.066417, "distance_from_trend": 0.089263, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.807566, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.294318, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.836329, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.134379, "excess_performance": 0.013957, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.089263, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037807, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.294318, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039998, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.008363, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025902, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.134379, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.025641, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1000, "relative_activity": 0.534759, "balance": 5.025641, "dry_up": 0.534759, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015643, "annualized_volatility": 0.109384, "from_high_reference": -0.011114, "from_low_reference": 0.221806 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.066417, "fair_value_reference": 59.807566, "structural_low": 64.370003, 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.12659, "energy": 92.389253, "activity_lines": [ 76.135378, 75.336982, 73.066757, 71.573078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 75.889999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1750.0, "trend": 70.251589, "fair_value": 59.222209, "relative_strength": -0.164272, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.285589, "energy": 83.335467, "activity_lines": [ 76.174845, 75.587649, 73.532459, 71.954616 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 75.190002, "volume": 1700, "typical_volume": 1810.0, "trend": 70.48375, "fair_value": 59.411857, "relative_strength": -1.210665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.450099, "energy": 66.487834, "activity_lines": [ 75.866546, 75.636003, 73.893352, 72.273224 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 75.169998, "volume": 1300, "typical_volume": 1835.0, "trend": 70.764416, "fair_value": 59.601762, "relative_strength": -0.675847, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.529778, "energy": 59.198933, "activity_lines": [ 75.607999, 75.633441, 74.210483, 72.575562 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.410004, "volume": 1000, "typical_volume": 1870.0, "trend": 71.066417, "fair_value": 59.807566, "relative_strength": -0.836329, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.984038, "energy": 67.947907, "activity_lines": [ 76.121334, 75.990875, 74.697233, 73.00431 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }