{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "466ca621-2c2d-45ad-8f3a-68300fc0c0a3",
    "symbol": "AUSF",
    "name": "GLOBAL X FDS ADAPTIVE US FACTOR ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 83.659,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.671,
    "architecture_energy": 81.697,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.532,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.368,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.29,
        "rotation_up": 82.61,
        "upward_expansion": 95.71,
        "deceleration": 39.16,
        "rotation_down": 9.35,
        "downward_expansion": 17.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        51.172536,
        50.531457,
        49.878977,
        49.510347
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 51.8743,
    "trend_reference": 49.093183,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.05665,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.230882,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.258142,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.54807,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.05262,
    "excess_performance": -0.073005,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05665,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031732,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.258142,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030486,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025481,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032663,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05262,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.492168,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 309534,
      "relative_activity": 0.818264,
      "balance": 3.492168,
      "dry_up": 0.652788,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021584,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.103,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008511,
      "from_low_reference": 0.195788
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 49.093183,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.230882,
      "structural_low": 46.986435,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.010779,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000348,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.083133,
        "worst_return": -0.047839,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": 0.01761,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.082779,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012171,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.0835,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.043966,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.035,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -4.40928,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 404437.65,
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        "fair_value": 40.826019,
        "relative_strength": -1.574453,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.400888,
        "energy": 53.69351,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50.909103,
        "volume": 226289,
        "typical_volume": 381695.65,
        "trend": 48.766147,
        "fair_value": 40.956897,
        "relative_strength": -0.008735,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.243398,
        "energy": 67.705434,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.28652,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 51.217161,
        "volume": 233085,
        "typical_volume": 373910.15,
        "trend": 48.938293,
        "fair_value": 41.092051,
        "relative_strength": -0.460585,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.580845,
        "energy": 73.596719,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.675244,
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          49.618068,
          49.320927
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 51.8743,
        "volume": 309534,
        "typical_volume": 378281.35,
        "trend": 49.093183,
        "fair_value": 41.230882,
        "relative_strength": -2.54807,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.670761,
        "energy": 81.696788,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}