{ "ticker": { "uuid": "466d9eac-1614-4245-b0ed-61af78fdc0dc", "symbol": "CPX", "name": "Capital Power Corporation", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.028, "architecture_energy": 19.329, "architecture_maturity": 58.068, "architecture_confidence": 79.222, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.45, "rotation_up": 18.4, "upward_expansion": 56.94, "deceleration": 88.32, "rotation_down": 43.21, "downward_expansion": 22.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.033334, 70.13544, 69.424588, 67.991611 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 64.800003, "trend_reference": 65.676659, "distance_from_trend": -0.013348, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.857343, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299708, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.921756, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.12034, "excess_performance": -8.1e-05, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.013348, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057118, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.299708, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09132, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.099218, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065737, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.12034, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.89458, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2714200, "relative_activity": 1.170827, "balance": 0.89458, "dry_up": 1.360943, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05521, "annualized_volatility": 0.275558, "from_high_reference": -0.15866, "from_low_reference": 0.190814 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.676659, "fair_value_reference": 49.857343, "structural_low": 57.087643, "invalidation": "A 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"trend": 64.375173, "fair_value": 49.008113, "relative_strength": 6.497357, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.884434, "energy": 84.237128, "activity_lines": [ 73.842553, 71.801616, 69.120083, 67.092179 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 71.459999, "volume": 3085800, "typical_volume": 2338665.0, "trend": 64.813967, "fair_value": 49.233326, "relative_strength": 1.867072, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.423119, "energy": 60.760579, "activity_lines": [ 73.279052, 72.09085, 69.543511, 67.549265 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 71.739998, "volume": 2301500, "typical_volume": 2285340.0, "trend": 65.265679, "fair_value": 49.465433, "relative_strength": 2.119154, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.717913, "energy": 48.33874, "activity_lines": [ 72.722761, 72.323208, 69.954989, 67.996106 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.870003, "volume": 4518200, "typical_volume": 2344525.0, "trend": 65.473997, "fair_value": 49.664956, "relative_strength": -5.715991, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.491456, "energy": 19.770638, "activity_lines": [ 70.283333, 71.333453, 69.752111, 68.035094 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.800003, "volume": 2714200, "typical_volume": 2318190.0, "trend": 65.676659, "fair_value": 49.857343, "relative_strength": -9.921756, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.027838, "energy": 19.329163, "activity_lines": [ 68.033334, 70.13544, 69.424588, 67.991611 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }