{ "ticker": { "uuid": "467a3477-71ce-4d32-9fa7-05891c372dbf", "symbol": "KLS", "name": "Kelso Technologies Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.489, "architecture_energy": 70.604, "architecture_maturity": 61.662, "architecture_confidence": 79.976, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.51, "rotation_up": 11.72, "upward_expansion": 16.38, "deceleration": 35.15, "rotation_down": 76.89, "downward_expansion": 89.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.128667, 0.138364, 0.13981, 0.144538 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.12, "trend_reference": 0.154, "distance_from_trend": -0.220779, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.182756, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.343388, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.859672, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.368421, "excess_performance": -0.488842, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.220779, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12334, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.343388, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013619, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.388597, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033589, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.368421, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.505754, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1600, "relative_activity": 0.010841, "balance": 0.505754, "dry_up": 0.27407, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128205, "annualized_volatility": 0.537129, "from_high_reference": -0.52, "from_low_reference": 0.090909 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.154, "fair_value_reference": 0.182756, "structural_low": 0.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.023256, "positive_rate": 0.378378, "directional_follow_through": 0.540541, "median_excess_return": -0.028182, "regime_survival": 0.810811, "best_return": 0.642857, "worst_return": -0.35, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.121951, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.11553, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.333333, "worst_return": -0.387097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.180359, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.151018, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.142857, "worst_return": -0.391304, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043478, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.4, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.222222, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.071429, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.307692, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.125, "active": false }, { "regime": 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}, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.14, "volume": 45500, "typical_volume": 157580.0, "trend": 0.163667, "fair_value": 0.190962, "relative_strength": -29.158668, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.119878, "energy": 24.47349, "activity_lines": [ 0.154667, 0.147273, 0.14619, 0.152366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.14, "volume": 44800, "typical_volume": 155665.0, "trend": 0.161667, "fair_value": 0.188654, "relative_strength": -28.431306, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.741877, "energy": 20.55895, "activity_lines": [ 0.150667, 0.147091, 0.145333, 0.150839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.13, "volume": 17500, "typical_volume": 154860.0, "trend": 0.159333, "fair_value": 0.186795, "relative_strength": -33.159983, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.932319, "energy": 26.679419, "activity_lines": [ 0.142667, 0.144909, 0.143667, 0.148796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.13, "volume": 97900, "typical_volume": 157770.0, "trend": 0.156667, "fair_value": 0.184359, "relative_strength": -32.360916, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.159911, "energy": 40.599027, "activity_lines": [ 0.136, 0.142545, 0.142143, 0.146903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.12, "volume": 1600, "typical_volume": 147590.0, "trend": 0.154, "fair_value": 0.182756, "relative_strength": -38.859672, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.48881, "energy": 70.604124, "activity_lines": [ 0.128667, 0.138364, 0.13981, 0.144538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }