{ "ticker": { "uuid": "468999cc-f9d9-4a3f-a420-4251c7c9aec6", "symbol": "ENLT", "name": "Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd. Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.579, "architecture_energy": 10.65, "architecture_maturity": 37.21, "architecture_confidence": 86.72, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.76, "rotation_up": 28.21, "upward_expansion": 51.27, "deceleration": 82.22, "rotation_down": 20.28, "downward_expansion": 17.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.784667, 86.222, 87.819143, 84.724118 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 84.82, "trend_reference": 78.809833, "distance_from_trend": 0.076262, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.616728, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.682757, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.514778, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.413431, "excess_performance": 0.225977, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076262, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.241827, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.682757, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.834524, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.255148, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.504, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.413431, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.617474, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1516186, "relative_activity": 1.478407, "balance": 0.617474, "dry_up": 1.023396, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138397, "annualized_volatility": 0.552567, "from_high_reference": -0.219328, "from_low_reference": 2.541545 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 78.809833, "fair_value_reference": 31.616728, "structural_low": 59.49, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.002374, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.036909, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.002374, "worst_return": 0.002374, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.096615, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.042629, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041706, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.112605, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.047855, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 3.936608, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.006646, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 16.47, "volume": 158579, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 16.51, "volume": 81693, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", 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"activity_lines": [ 86.094, 87.087273, 87.870238, 84.26529 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.82, "volume": 1516186, "typical_volume": 1025553.65, "trend": 78.809833, "fair_value": 31.616728, "relative_strength": 25.514778, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.579187, "energy": 10.650344, "activity_lines": [ 85.784667, 86.222, 87.819143, 84.724118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }