{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "468dc06b-31c4-4b5e-9945-035c57931bdc",
    "symbol": "VOD",
    "name": "Vodafone Group Public Limited Company",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 89.867,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.263,
    "architecture_energy": 69.277,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.208,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.477,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.31,
        "rotation_up": 77.74,
        "upward_expansion": 89.01,
        "deceleration": 43.2,
        "rotation_down": 10.99,
        "downward_expansion": 15.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.726667,
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        13.047051,
        12.975546
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 14.0,
    "trend_reference": 12.842828,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090103,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.065347,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.544342,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.029484,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.102362,
    "excess_performance": -0.071885,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090103,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060994,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.544342,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018654,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020295,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087322,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102362,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 834,
      "relative_activity": 0.921496,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 2.524722,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054515,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.287498,
      "from_high_reference": -0.027778,
      "from_low_reference": 0.496856
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.842828,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.065347,
      "structural_low": 11.4,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.018615,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010979,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.1141,
        "worst_return": -0.056818,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.017685,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.043623,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.069182,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.091274,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.079446,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.073281,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.058947,
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        "worst_return": -0.294961,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
          13.123543,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 13.410681,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 346.35,
        "trend": 11.832284,
        "fair_value": 8.580111,
        "relative_strength": 6.70274,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.553093,
        "energy": 54.368902,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 12.529688,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 346.35,
        "trend": 11.928433,
        "fair_value": 8.612952,
        "relative_strength": -0.225393,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.330965,
        "energy": 38.393582,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.725464,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 346.35,
        "trend": 12.024613,
        "fair_value": 8.647794,
        "relative_strength": -0.862886,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 40.218581,
        "energy": 26.267038,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 12.529688,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 344.05,
        "trend": 12.104524,
        "fair_value": 8.682376,
        "relative_strength": -5.095252,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.305241,
        "energy": 16.254685,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.751568,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 12.8,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 344.05,
        "trend": 12.20806,
        "fair_value": 8.718604,
        "relative_strength": -2.171659,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.821366,
        "energy": 20.194549,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.71768,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 13.3,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 344.05,
        "trend": 12.303906,
        "fair_value": 8.758038,
        "relative_strength": -1.352577,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.068731,
        "energy": 20.551615,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 12.3,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 344.05,
        "trend": 12.376161,
        "fair_value": 8.791588,
        "relative_strength": -12.419249,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -1.586276,
        "energy": 5.587039,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.725656,
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          12.720694
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 12.3,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 299.4,
        "trend": 12.426161,
        "fair_value": 8.825665,
        "relative_strength": -10.699176,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -3.369132,
        "energy": 9.455267,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.581979,
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          12.80138,
          12.715781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 11.6,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 254.75,
        "trend": 12.452828,
        "fair_value": 8.854991,
        "relative_strength": -17.584754,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -41.997296,
        "energy": 50.531142,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.233333,
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          12.66248
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 12.9,
        "volume": 6672,
        "typical_volume": 543.7,
        "trend": 12.522828,
        "fair_value": 8.893178,
        "relative_strength": -7.176888,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -6.215506,
        "energy": 24.176068,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.38,
          12.517549,
          12.693905,
          12.69133
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.8,
        "volume": 7472,
        "typical_volume": 872.65,
        "trend": 12.612828,
        "fair_value": 8.937923,
        "relative_strength": 1.066154,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.845196,
        "energy": 19.428986,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.82,
          12.72854,
          12.793025,
          12.773728
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 13.4,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 866.3,
        "trend": 12.689494,
        "fair_value": 8.977208,
        "relative_strength": -3.245744,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.718186,
        "energy": 31.728468,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.093333,
          12.859724,
          12.850716,
          12.824513
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.8,
        "volume": 834,
        "typical_volume": 863.35,
        "trend": 12.769494,
        "fair_value": 9.020373,
        "relative_strength": -0.442881,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.964092,
        "energy": 48.675305,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.426667,
          13.047813,
          12.942217,
          12.896159
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.0,
        "volume": 834,
        "typical_volume": 905.05,
        "trend": 12.842828,
        "fair_value": 9.065347,
        "relative_strength": -2.029484,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.262972,
        "energy": 69.276718,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.726667,
          13.252727,
          13.047051,
          12.975546
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}