{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4694105b-4126-4f27-b5a3-d435e1279495", "symbol": "7729", "name": "Steminent Biotherapeutics Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -8.058, "architecture_energy": 7.784, "architecture_maturity": 13.637, "architecture_confidence": 80.14, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 66.25, "rotation_up": 33.16, "upward_expansion": 40.01, "deceleration": 32.88, "rotation_down": 25.17, "downward_expansion": 37.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.806665, 77.152726, 76.518145, 77.340187 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 79.099998, "trend_reference": 78.834255, "distance_from_trend": 0.003371, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 41.544143, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.903999, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.571248, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.011509, "excess_performance": -0.429863, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003371, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.145249, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.903999, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054035, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095712, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122541, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.011509, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.946247, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1793498, "relative_activity": 1.189787, "balance": 0.946247, "dry_up": 1.155418, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130896, "annualized_volatility": 0.49736, "from_high_reference": -0.172594, "from_low_reference": 1.795053 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 78.834255, "fair_value_reference": 41.544143, "structural_low": 67.099998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.123579, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.05, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.123579, "worst_return": 0.123579, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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75.34, 75.892726, 76.184255, 77.188108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 76.599998, "volume": 2124495, "typical_volume": 1526860.3, "trend": 77.464255, "fair_value": 40.933479, "relative_strength": -5.870988, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.836429, "energy": 12.24713, "activity_lines": [ 75.819999, 76.110908, 76.088408, 77.172994 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 79.099998, "volume": 1514660, "typical_volume": 1494315.5, "trend": 78.144255, "fair_value": 41.241273, "relative_strength": -5.797911, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.563508, "energy": 5.968796, "activity_lines": [ 76.993332, 76.721817, 76.285419, 77.278526 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 79.099998, "volume": 1793498, "typical_volume": 1507410.5, "trend": 78.834255, "fair_value": 41.544143, "relative_strength": -9.571248, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.057914, "energy": 7.78414, "activity_lines": [ 77.806665, 77.152726, 76.518145, 77.340187 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }